Match Overview
Beijing Guoan and Chengdu Rongcheng are gearing up for a crucial Super League match that could significantly impact their standings. With Beijing Guoan playing at home, they will look to leverage their home advantage against a competitive Chengdu Rongcheng side. The match is set to take place at the iconic Workers' Stadium, providing a vibrant atmosphere for this high-stakes encounter.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Beijing Guoan slightly favored at 2.21, Chengdu Rongcheng at 3.03, and a draw at 3.31. This translates to a probability of approximately 45% for a home win, 30% for an away win, and 25% for a draw. The odds indicate a closely contested match, with Beijing Guoan having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
Team Analysis
Beijing Guoan
- Current Form: Beijing Guoan has shown a balanced performance with an average of 2 goals per match and a possession rate of 65%.
- Strengths: High possession and successful passing rate (442.5 successful passes per match).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense with 1 goal conceded per match and 1.34 expected goals against.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Beijing Guoan has had mixed results against Chengdu Rongcheng, making this match unpredictable.
Chengdu Rongcheng
- Current Form: Chengdu Rongcheng has been impressive offensively, averaging 20.5 shots per match and 6 on target.
- Strengths: Strong offensive capabilities with 2.73 expected goals per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive lapses with 1 goal conceded per match.
- Head-to-Head: Chengdu Rongcheng has shown resilience in past encounters, often challenging Beijing Guoan's defense.
Key Players Spotlight
Beijing Guoan
- Fabio Abreu: Key goal scorer with 1 goal this season.
- Liangming Lin: Influential in attack, contributing significantly to the team's offensive play.
Chengdu Rongcheng
- Felipe Silva: Top performer with 92.01 points, crucial in both attack and defense.
- Shihao Wei: Consistent goal scorer, adding depth to Chengdu's attacking options.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Chengdu Rongcheng leads in shots (20.5) and expected goals (2.73), indicating a potent attack.
- Defensive Metrics: Beijing Guoan's interceptions (39.5) and Chengdu's clearances (5.5) highlight their defensive strategies.
- Possession and Passing: Beijing Guoan's possession (65%) and successful passes (442.5) showcase their control in midfield.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Beijing Guoan's home advantage and possession control could be decisive. However, Chengdu Rongcheng's offensive prowess poses a significant threat. Key factors such as Fabio Abreu's scoring ability and Felipe Silva's all-round performance will be crucial.
Final Score Prediction: Beijing Guoan 2-1 Chengdu Rongcheng Potential Match-Winning Factors: Home advantage, possession control, and key player performances.