Match Overview
Montpellier and Le Havre face off in a crucial Ligue 1 match that could shape their season trajectories. Montpellier, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Stade de la Mosson to secure a win. Meanwhile, Le Havre aims to capitalize on their recent form to challenge Montpellier's home advantage.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a closely contested match, with Montpellier slightly favored at 2.32, Le Havre at 2.89, and a draw at 3.45. This translates to a probability of 43.1% for a Montpellier win, 29.1% for a Le Havre victory, and 27.8% for a draw. The odds indicate a competitive match, with no clear favorite.
Team Analysis
Montpellier
- Current Form: Montpellier has played 25 matches this season, with a mixed record.
- Strengths: High dribble success rate (16.84) and offensive capabilities with a CompaScore Offensive Rating of 593.24.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 2.36 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Montpellier has had a slight edge over Le Havre.
Le Havre
- Current Form: Le Havre has played 26 matches, showing resilience in their performances.
- Strengths: Solid defensive metrics with a CompaScore Defensive Rating of 392.94.
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate (43.35) and fewer goals scored (1 per match).
- Head-to-Head: Le Havre has struggled against Montpellier in past encounters.
Key Players Spotlight
Montpellier
- Téji Savanier: Leading with 234.89 points, crucial in midfield.
- Arnaud Nordin: Top scorer with 4 goals, vital in attack.
Le Havre
- Abdoulaye Touré: Key player with 188.23 points and 5 goals.
- André Ayew: Experienced forward with 4 goals, impactful in offense.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Montpellier averages 10.76 shots per match, while Le Havre averages 9.
- Defensive Metrics: Le Havre has a higher interception rate (43.42) compared to Montpellier (39.16).
- Possession: Montpellier holds a slight edge with 45.92% possession.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Montpellier's home advantage and offensive capabilities could be decisive. However, Le Havre's solid defense might keep the match tight. Key factors include Montpellier's ability to convert possession into goals and Le Havre's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Montpellier 2-1 Le Havre Half Time Score Prediction: Montpellier 1-0 Le Havre Both Teams to Score Probability: 48% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 64%