Match Overview
Saint-Étienne and Nice face off in a pivotal Ligue 1 match that could significantly impact their respective campaigns. With Nice currently in a stronger position, they will be looking to capitalize on their form to secure an away victory. Meanwhile, Saint-Étienne will be determined to leverage their home advantage to upset the odds.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are heavily in favor of Nice, with a win probability of 62.5% (1.6 odds). Saint-Étienne, on the other hand, has a win probability of 18.6% (5.38 odds), while the draw stands at 22.7% (4.4 odds). Based on these odds, Nice is expected to dominate the match, but Saint-Étienne's home advantage could play a crucial role.
Team Analysis
Saint-Étienne
- Current Form: Struggling with an average of 1 goal per match and conceding 2.3 goals.
- Strengths: High dribble success rate (13.7 successful dribbles per match).
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 2.34 expected goals against.
Nice
- Current Form: Strong offensive performance with 2 goals per match.
- Strengths: Solid defense, conceding only 1.17 goals per match.
- Weaknesses: Slightly lower possession rate (47.26%) compared to top teams.
Head-to-Head
- Nice has historically performed better in recent encounters.
- Tactical Approach: Nice's balanced attack and defense could outmatch Saint-Étienne's inconsistent form.
Key Players Spotlight
Saint-Étienne
- Zuriko Davitashvili: Leading scorer with 7 goals.
- Irvin Cardona: Key playmaker with 262.38 points.
Nice
- Evann Guessand and Gaëtan Laborde: Both have scored 9 goals, crucial for Nice's attack.
- Marcin Bulka: Defensive stalwart with 303.07 points.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Nice averages 12.26 shots per match, with 5.3 on target, compared to Saint-Étienne's 9.43 shots and 3.35 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Nice's expected goals against is 1.3, significantly lower than Saint-Étienne's 2.34.
- Possession and Passing: Nice slightly edges out in possession (47.26%) and successful passes (364.09) over Saint-Étienne (44% possession, 357.39 successful passes).
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Nice is favored to win this match. Key factors include their superior offensive capabilities and defensive solidity. Saint-Étienne will need to exploit their home advantage and improve defensively to challenge Nice effectively.
Final Score Prediction: Saint-Étienne 1-3 Nice
Potential Match-Winning Factors: Nice's attacking duo of Guessand and Laborde, along with their defensive organization, could be decisive in securing the win.