Nürnberg and Köln face off in a match that holds significant implications for their respective campaigns. Nürnberg, currently mid-table, aims to secure a victory to bolster their position, while Köln, with their eyes on promotion, seeks to capitalize on their strong form. The Max-Morlock-Stadion will be the battleground for this exciting clash.
Odds Analysis
The odds favor Köln with an average of 1.69, indicating a 59.17% probability of an away win. Nürnberg's odds stand at 4.13, translating to a 24.21% chance of a home victory, while a draw is priced at 3.94, suggesting a 25.38% likelihood. Köln's superior odds reflect their stronger season performance and higher CompaScore rating.
Team Analysis
Nürnberg
- Current Form: Nürnberg has shown mixed results, with a solid offensive output averaging 1.72 goals per match.
- Strengths: High dribble success rate (15.53) and consistent goal-scoring ability.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.69 goals per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Nürnberg has struggled against Köln, with recent encounters favoring the visitors.
Köln
- Current Form: Köln boasts a robust defense, conceding only 1.16 goals per match.
- Strengths: Strong possession (52.34%) and effective passing game.
- Weaknesses: Occasional lapses in concentration leading to dangerous own half losses.
- Head-to-Head: Köln has dominated past meetings, leveraging their tactical superiority.
Key Players Spotlight
Nürnberg
- Stefanos Tzimas: Leading scorer with 12 goals, pivotal in Nürnberg's attack.
- Julian Justvan: Contributing 7 goals, a key playmaker.
Köln
- Tim Lemperle: Top scorer with 10 goals, crucial for Köln's offensive strategy.
- Eric Martel: A dynamic presence in midfield, influencing both attack and defense.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Nürnberg averages 11.28 shots per game, while Köln leads with 14.84.
- Defensive Metrics: Köln's defense is more resilient, with fewer goals conceded and higher interception rates.
- Possession and Passing: Köln's superior passing accuracy and possession stats give them an edge.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Köln is favored to win, given their higher CompaScore and consistent form. Key factors include their defensive solidity and effective attacking play. Nürnberg's chances hinge on exploiting Köln's occasional defensive lapses.
Final Score Prediction: Köln 2-1 Nürnberg Half Time Score Prediction: Köln 1-0 Nürnberg Both Teams to Score Probability: 62.5% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 68.75%