Schalke 04, with a home advantage, enters this match as favorites, reflected in the odds of 1.82 for a win. Their season has been marked by a strong offensive presence, averaging 1.7 goals per game and a high possession rate of 54.85%. However, their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding an average of 1.78 goals per match. Schalke's ability to control the game through possession and create scoring opportunities will be key.
Ulm, on the other hand, has shown resilience with a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.22 goals per game. Their offensive output, however, has been modest, with an average of 1 goal per match. Ulm's strategy will likely focus on counter-attacks and exploiting Schalke's defensive vulnerabilities.
Head-to-head statistics favor Schalke, who have historically performed well against teams with similar profiles to Ulm. Schalke's tactical approach, emphasizing ball control and high pressing, could pose significant challenges for Ulm, who may struggle to maintain possession and build attacks.
Key players like Moussa Sylla and Kenan Karaman for Schalke, who have scored 14 and 13 goals respectively, will be crucial in breaking down Ulm's defense. For Ulm, Semir Telalovic, with 9 goals, will be the main threat to Schalke's backline.
Statistically, Schalke's offensive metrics, such as shots on target (4.52 per game) and expected goals (1.58), suggest they are more likely to score. Ulm's defensive metrics, including interceptions (43.81 per game) and successful duels (101.07), indicate their ability to disrupt Schalke's play.
In conclusion, Schalke's superior offensive capabilities and home advantage make them favorites to win. However, Ulm's defensive resilience could lead to a closely contested match. Schalke's ability to convert chances and maintain defensive discipline will be crucial in securing a victory.