Match Overview
Bologna and Cagliari face off in a crucial Serie A match that could have significant implications for both teams' standings. Bologna, playing at home, will look to leverage their strong form and home advantage to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Cagliari will aim to upset the odds and gain valuable points on the road.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a Bologna victory, with odds of 1.62 indicating a 61.7% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.87, translating to a 25.8% chance, while Cagliari's odds of 6.06 suggest a 16.5% probability of an away win. Based on these odds, Bologna is the clear favorite, but Cagliari's potential to surprise should not be underestimated.
Team Analysis
Bologna
- Current Form: Bologna has been consistent this season, with a solid average of 1.54 goals per match and a possession rate of 58.38%.
- Strengths: Strong offensive play with 12.58 shots per game and a high successful dribble rate of 15.69.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.23 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Bologna has historically performed well against Cagliari, often dominating possession and creating more chances.
Cagliari
- Current Form: Cagliari has struggled with consistency, averaging 1 goal per match and a lower possession rate of 44.35%.
- Strengths: Resilient defense with 35.62 interceptions per game and effective counter-attacks.
- Weaknesses: Limited offensive output, with only 3.38 shots on target per match.
- Head-to-Head: Cagliari has found it challenging to secure wins against Bologna, often falling short in key areas.
Key Players Spotlight
- Bologna: Santiago Castro and Riccardo Orsolini, both with 7 goals this season, are crucial to Bologna's attacking prowess.
- Cagliari: Roberto Piccoli, with 6 goals, will be key to Cagliari's hopes of finding the net.
- Matchup: The battle between Bologna's creative midfield and Cagliari's defensive setup will be pivotal.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Bologna averages 1.54 goals and 4.62 shots on target per match, while Cagliari averages 1 goal and 3.38 shots on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Bologna's expected goals against is 1.09, compared to Cagliari's 1.56, indicating a stronger defensive setup for Bologna.
- Possession and Passing: Bologna's superior possession (58.38%) and passing accuracy (392.77 successful passes) could dictate the match tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Bologna's home advantage and superior form make them favorites to win this match. Key factors include their offensive capabilities and ability to control possession. Cagliari will need to capitalize on counter-attacks and set-pieces to challenge Bologna.
Final Score Prediction: Bologna 2-1 Cagliari Half-Time Score Prediction: Bologna 1-0 Cagliari Both Teams to Score Probability: 57% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 54%