Match Overview
Cosenza and Pisa face off in a pivotal Serie B match that could significantly impact their standings. Cosenza, currently struggling in the lower half of the table, will look to leverage their home advantage to secure a much-needed victory. Meanwhile, Pisa, with their eyes set on promotion, aim to capitalize on their superior form and odds.
Odds Analysis
The odds favor Pisa with an average of 2.09, indicating a 47.8% probability of an away win. Cosenza's odds stand at 3.64, translating to a 27.5% chance of a home victory, while the draw is priced at 3.09, suggesting a 32.3% likelihood. Pisa's stronger form and higher scoring rate make them the expected winners.
Team Analysis
Cosenza
- Current Form: Cosenza has struggled this season, averaging 0.83 goals per match and conceding 1.37.
- Strengths: High dribble success rate (74.3%) and solid interception numbers (40.63 per match).
- Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate and high expected goals against (1.57).
Pisa
- Current Form: Pisa boasts a better scoring average of 1.6 goals per match and a lower concession rate of 0.97.
- Strengths: Strong offensive metrics with a high expected goals (1.63) and effective duels (49% success).
- Weaknesses: Slightly lower possession rate (44.57%) compared to Cosenza.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Pisa has had the upper hand in recent encounters, often outscoring Cosenza and maintaining a solid defensive record.
Tactical Approaches
Cosenza may focus on defensive solidity and counter-attacks, while Pisa is likely to employ a more aggressive, possession-based strategy to exploit Cosenza's defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Players Spotlight
Cosenza
- Gabriele Artistico: Key playmaker with 159.82 points, crucial for creating chances.
- Tommaso Fumagalli: Top scorer with 4 goals, vital for Cosenza's attacking threat.
Pisa
- Matteo Tramoni: Leading scorer with 11 goals, pivotal in Pisa's offensive setup.
- Adrian Semper: Defensive stalwart with 161.72 points, essential for maintaining Pisa's defensive integrity.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Pisa leads with 1.6 goals per match compared to Cosenza's 0.83.
- Defensive Metrics: Pisa's concession rate of 0.97 is superior to Cosenza's 1.37.
- Possession and Passing: Cosenza averages higher possession (48.83%) but Pisa's passing accuracy is slightly better.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on current form and statistical analysis, Pisa is favored to win. Key factors include Pisa's superior goal-scoring ability and defensive strength. Cosenza's home advantage may play a role, but Pisa's tactical prowess is likely to prevail.
Final Score Prediction: Pisa 2-1 Cosenza Half Time Score Prediction: Pisa 1-0 Cosenza Both Teams to Score Probability: 56% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 53%