Match Overview
Pachuca and Mazatlán face off in a crucial Liga MX match that could shape their respective seasons. Pachuca, known for their attacking prowess, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Mazatlán aims to defy the odds and secure a vital away win.
Odds Analysis
- Home Win: 1.54
- Draw: 4.00
- Away Win: 5.40
The odds heavily favor Pachuca, with a 64.9% probability of winning, while Mazatlán has a 18.5% chance. The likelihood of a draw stands at 25%. Given these odds, Pachuca is expected to dominate, but Mazatlán's potential for an upset cannot be ignored.
Team Analysis
Pachuca
- Current Form: Pachuca has shown consistency with an average of 1.3 goals per match.
- Strengths: Strong offensive metrics with 13.37 shots per game and a high possession rate of 51.15%.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.56 goals per match.
Mazatlán
- Current Form: Struggling offensively with only 0.74 goals per match.
- Strengths: Solid defensive structure, conceding 1.15 goals per match.
- Weaknesses: Lack of attacking threat, with a low shots on target average of 3.41.
Head-to-Head
Pachuca has historically performed better in head-to-head encounters, leveraging their home advantage effectively.
Tactical Approaches
Pachuca is likely to adopt an aggressive approach, focusing on high possession and attacking play. Mazatlán may opt for a more defensive strategy, aiming to counter-attack and exploit any defensive lapses from Pachuca.
Key Players Spotlight
Pachuca
- Salomón Rondón: Top scorer with 9 goals, crucial for Pachuca's attack.
- John Kennedy: A key playmaker with 7 goals.
Mazatlán
- Hugo González: Defensive stalwart, vital for maintaining Mazatlán's defensive integrity.
- Brian Rubio: Joint top scorer with 2 goals, pivotal in any attacking opportunities.
Statistical Deep Dive
Pachuca:
- Over 2.5 Goals: 59.26%
- Both Teams to Score: 62.96%
- Expected Goals: 1.2
Mazatlán:
- Over 2.5 Goals: 33.33%
- Both Teams to Score: 37.04%
- Expected Goals: 1.18
Pachuca's offensive metrics suggest a high-scoring game, while Mazatlán's defensive stats indicate a potential for a low-scoring affair.
Prediction and Conclusion
Pachuca's superior offensive capabilities and home advantage make them favorites to win. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Mazatlán's best chance lies in a disciplined defensive performance and effective counter-attacks.
Final Score Prediction: Pachuca 2-1 Mazatlán Half Time Score Prediction: Pachuca 1-0 Mazatlán Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%