Match Overview
This Liga MX match between Querétaro and Puebla is a pivotal fixture in the season, with both teams looking to improve their positions on the league table. Querétaro, playing at home, will aim to leverage their home advantage, while Puebla seeks to capitalize on their recent form to secure an away victory.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Querétaro to win at 2.28, a draw at 3.3, and Puebla to win at 3.01. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Querétaro slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a Querétaro win is approximately 43.86%, a draw is 30.30%, and a Puebla win is 33.22%. Based on these odds, a narrow victory for Querétaro seems the most likely outcome.
Team Analysis
Querétaro
- Current Form: Querétaro has shown inconsistent form this season, with an average of 0.84 goals per match and a possession rate of 40.56%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 11.32 successful dribbles per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.76 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Querétaro has struggled against Puebla in recent encounters, needing to improve their defensive organization.
Puebla
- Current Form: Puebla has been slightly more consistent, averaging 1.08 goals per match and a possession rate of 38.35%.
- Strengths: Effective in duels, with 102.77 successful duels per match.
- Weaknesses: Lower passing accuracy, with only 245.15 successful passes per match.
- Head-to-Head: Puebla has had the upper hand in recent meetings, often exploiting Querétaro's defensive lapses.
Key Players Spotlight
- Querétaro: Pablo Barrera and Rubio Rubín, both with 3 goals this season, will be crucial in breaking down Puebla's defense.
- Puebla: Emiliano Gómez, with 5 goals, and Lucas Cavallini, with 4 goals, are key threats in attack.
- Matchup: The battle between Querétaro's defense and Puebla's attacking duo will be decisive.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Querétaro averages 8.52 shots per match, while Puebla averages 10.88, indicating a more aggressive approach from Puebla.
- Defensive Metrics: Querétaro's defense has been porous, with 1.76 goals conceded per match, compared to Puebla's 1.65.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams struggle with possession, but Querétaro's passing accuracy is slightly better.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical analysis and current form, Querétaro is slightly favored to win this match. Key factors include their home advantage and the need to tighten their defense against Puebla's potent attack. A narrow victory for Querétaro is predicted, with a final score of 2-1. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams likely to score, and over 2.5 goals a probable outcome.