Match Overview
Dundee and St. Johnstone are gearing up for a pivotal clash in the Scottish Premiership. This match holds substantial importance as both teams are striving to improve their positions in the league table. Dundee, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while St. Johnstone aims to upset the hosts and climb the standings.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Dundee to win at 2.24, a draw at 3.3, and St. Johnstone to win at 3.32. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Dundee slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a Dundee victory stands at approximately 44.6%, a draw at 30.3%, and a St. Johnstone win at 30.1%. Based on these odds, a narrow win for Dundee seems the most likely outcome.
Team Analysis
Dundee
- Current Form: Dundee has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.43 goals per match and a concerning 2.14 goals conceded per game.
- Strengths: High percentage of over 2.5 goals (75%) and both teams to score (71.43%) indicate a potent attack.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with an average of 2.14 goals conceded and 1.77 expected goals against.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Dundee has had a slight edge over St. Johnstone in recent encounters.
- Tactical Approach: Expect Dundee to focus on offensive play, leveraging their dribbling and crossing abilities.
St. Johnstone
- Current Form: St. Johnstone has been relatively consistent, with an average of 1.11 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per match.
- Strengths: Better possession (53.46%) and passing accuracy compared to Dundee.
- Weaknesses: Lower goal-scoring rate and defensive frailties.
- Head-to-Head: St. Johnstone will aim to break their recent struggles against Dundee.
- Tactical Approach: Likely to adopt a balanced approach, focusing on maintaining possession and exploiting counter-attacks.
Key Players Spotlight
- Dundee: Simon Murray, with 10 goals, is a key threat. Luke McCowan's impressive 228.18 points highlight his influence.
- St. Johnstone: Benjamin Kimpioka, Nicky Clark, and Makenzie Kirk, each with 6 goals, are crucial for their attacking prospects.
- Matchups: The battle between Dundee's Simon Murray and St. Johnstone's defensive line will be pivotal.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Dundee averages more shots (9.36) compared to St. Johnstone (8.89), indicating a more aggressive approach.
- Defensive Metrics: St. Johnstone's better defensive CompaScore (379.23) suggests a slight edge in defensive organization.
- Possession and Passing: St. Johnstone's superior possession and passing stats could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Dundee's home advantage and offensive capabilities give them a slight edge. Key factors include Simon Murray's goal-scoring form and Dundee's ability to exploit St. Johnstone's defensive lapses. However, St. Johnstone's possession play could pose challenges.
Final Score Prediction: Dundee 2-1 St. Johnstone Half Time Score Prediction: Dundee 1-0 St. Johnstone Both Teams to Score Probability: 70% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%