Match Overview
Cartagena and Eldense face off in a pivotal La Liga 2 match, with both teams eager to secure points that could influence their standings. The match, scheduled at the Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, is crucial for Cartagena, who are looking to improve their form and climb the league table. Eldense, on the other hand, aims to maintain their competitive edge and capitalize on their recent performances.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest Eldense as the favorites with odds of 2.02, indicating a 49.5% probability of an away win. Cartagena's odds of 3.78 translate to a 26.5% chance of a home victory, while the draw is priced at 3.03, giving it a 33% probability. These odds reflect Eldense's stronger form and higher CompaScore rating, suggesting they might have the upper hand.
Team Analysis
Cartagena
- Current Form: Cartagena has struggled this season, with a low average of 0.65 goals per match and a high concession rate of 1.84 goals.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is commendable at 13.39 per match, indicating potential in breaking through defenses.
- Weaknesses: Cartagena's possession is low at 40.52%, which could hinder their ability to control the game.
Eldense
- Current Form: Eldense has shown better form, averaging 1.06 goals per match and a lower concession rate of 1.47 goals.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a higher expected goals rate of 1.19 and a solid CompaScore Offensive Rating of 428.06.
- Weaknesses: Eldense's defense can be vulnerable, as indicated by their expected goals against of 1.42.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Eldense has had the upper hand in recent encounters, leveraging their stronger offensive and defensive metrics.
Tactical Approaches
Cartagena may focus on defensive solidity and counter-attacks, given their lower possession stats. Eldense is likely to employ a more aggressive approach, utilizing their superior passing and crossing abilities.
Key Players Spotlight
Cartagena
- Andy Rodríguez: With 4 goals this season, he remains a key threat in attack.
- Pablo Cuñat: His defensive contributions are vital, with a high points rating.
Eldense
- Juanto Ortuño: Leading the scoring charts with 7 goals, his form is crucial for Eldense's success.
- Victor García: His dual role in scoring and playmaking makes him a pivotal player.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Eldense's average shots on target (3.63) surpass Cartagena's (2.81), indicating a more potent attack.
- Defensive Metrics: Cartagena's interceptions (40.32) are slightly lower than Eldense's (40.56), suggesting a need for improvement in defensive areas.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Eldense appears to have the edge due to their superior offensive and defensive statistics. Cartagena's chances hinge on their ability to exploit counter-attacks and set-pieces.
Final Score Prediction
Eldense 2 - 1 Cartagena
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Eldense's offensive prowess and tactical flexibility
- Cartagena's ability to capitalize on defensive errors and set-pieces
In conclusion, while Cartagena has the home advantage, Eldense's form and statistical superiority make them favorites to win this encounter.