Match Overview
Girona and Deportivo Alavés face off in a pivotal La Liga match that holds significant implications for both teams. Girona, currently enjoying a stable season, seeks to maintain their momentum and secure a top-half finish. Meanwhile, Alavés is desperate for points to avoid the relegation battle, making this clash a must-win for them.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest Girona as the favorites with odds of 1.85, indicating a 54.05% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.58, translating to a 27.93% chance, while Alavés has odds of 4.17, giving them an 23.97% probability of an upset. Based on these odds, Girona is expected to leverage their home advantage and superior form to secure a victory.
Team Analysis
Girona
- Current Form: Girona has shown consistency with 28 matches played, achieving a solid average of 1.29 goals per game.
- Strengths: High possession rate (58%) and effective dribbling (16.75 successful dribbles per game).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense, conceding 1.46 goals per match.
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Alavés has struggled with a lower possession rate (45.43%) and a modest goal average of 1.14.
- Strengths: Strong defensive metrics with 601.03 CompaScore Defensive Rating.
- Weaknesses: Limited offensive output and reliance on key players like Kike García.
Head-to-Head
Girona and Alavés have had competitive encounters in the past, with Girona often having the upper hand at home. Tactical adjustments and player form will be crucial in determining the outcome.
Tactical Approaches
Girona is likely to focus on maintaining possession and exploiting Alavés' defensive gaps, while Alavés may adopt a counter-attacking strategy to capitalize on Girona's defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Players Spotlight
Girona
- Cristhian Stuani: Top scorer with 6 goals, crucial for Girona's attacking prowess.
- Yangel Herrera: Key midfielder with 254.36 points, contributing both defensively and offensively.
Deportivo Alavés
- Kike García: Leading goal scorer with 11 goals, vital for Alavés' chances.
- Nahuel Tenaglia: Defensive stalwart with 234.5 points, essential for maintaining defensive solidity.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Girona averages 9.64 shots per game, slightly higher than Alavés' 9.29.
- Defensive Metrics: Alavés boasts a higher interception rate (38.46) compared to Girona's 33.04.
- Possession and Passing: Girona's superior passing accuracy (468.57 successful passes) could be a decisive factor.
Prediction and Conclusion
Girona's home advantage and superior possession stats make them favorites to win. Key factors include their ability to control the game and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Alavés will need to rely on their defensive strengths and Kike García's goal-scoring ability to challenge Girona.
Final Score Prediction: Girona 2-1 Deportivo Alavés Half Time Score Prediction: Girona 1-0 Deportivo Alavés Both Teams to Score Probability: 55% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%