Minnesota United enters this match with a strong home advantage, reflected in the odds favoring them at 1.37. The probability of a home win stands at 73%, indicating confidence in their ability to secure victory. A draw is less likely, with odds at 4.86, translating to a 21% chance, while Toronto's chances of an upset are slim at 7.33, giving them a mere 14% probability.
Minnesota United's form this season has been solid, with an average of 1.4 goals per match and a possession rate of 36.8%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by Kelvin Yeboah, who has scored 4 goals, making him a key player to watch. Defensively, they concede 1.2 goals per game, supported by a strong interception rate of 47.4.
Toronto, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding 2.4 goals per match. Their offensive output is slightly lower, averaging 1.2 goals per game. Federico Bernardeschi, with 1 goal, will be crucial in their attacking efforts. Toronto's possession rate of 49.2% suggests they can control the game but need to improve their defensive resilience.
Head-to-head statistics favor Minnesota United, who have shown better form and tactical execution. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.96 surpass Toronto's 0.62, indicating a higher likelihood of scoring.
Tactically, Minnesota United is expected to leverage their dribbling skills, averaging 19.8 dribbles per game, while Toronto will aim to capitalize on their passing accuracy, completing 378.6 passes per match.