Match Overview
Grenoble and Ajaccio face off in a highly anticipated Ligue 2 clash, with both teams looking to secure vital points. Grenoble, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Ajaccio seeks to upset the hosts and climb the league table.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a slight edge for Grenoble with odds of 2.21, translating to a 45.2% probability of winning. Ajaccio's odds stand at 3.17, giving them a 31.5% chance, while a draw is priced at 3.13, indicating a 31.9% probability. The odds favor Grenoble, but the close margins suggest a competitive match.
Team Analysis
Grenoble
- Current Form: Grenoble has shown moderate form this season, with an average of 1.2 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.24%.
- Strengths: Strong defensive metrics with 44.08 interceptions per game and a solid CompaScore Defensive Rating of 308.58.
- Weaknesses: Struggles in attack with only 1.2 goals per game and a low Both Teams To Score percentage of 40%.
Ajaccio
- Current Form: Ajaccio has been less prolific in front of goal, averaging 0.83 goals per match.
- Strengths: Effective in duels with a high success rate and a CompaScore Duels Rating of 346.07.
- Weaknesses: Offensive struggles with a low Expected Goals of 0.99 and a high number of yellow cards (2.54 per game).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Grenoble and Ajaccio have had closely contested matches, with neither side dominating the other. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to their upcoming encounter.
Tactical Approaches
Grenoble is likely to focus on a balanced approach, leveraging their defensive solidity while seeking to improve their attacking output. Ajaccio may adopt a more cautious strategy, aiming to exploit counter-attacking opportunities.
Key Players Spotlight
Grenoble
- Pape Meïssa Ba: Leading scorer with 10 goals, crucial for Grenoble's attacking play.
- Mamadou Diop: Key defensive figure with a high CompaScore rating.
Ajaccio
- Moussa Soumano: Top scorer with 4 goals, vital for Ajaccio's offensive efforts.
- François-Joseph Sollacaro: Influential in defense, contributing significantly to Ajaccio's backline.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Grenoble averages 10.4 shots per game, slightly higher than Ajaccio's 9.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive stats, with Grenoble slightly ahead in interceptions.
- Possession and Passing: Ajaccio holds a slight edge in possession (49.33%) and successful passes.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Grenoble appears to have a slight advantage, particularly with their home support. Key factors include their defensive strength and Pape Meïssa Ba's goal-scoring prowess. Ajaccio's resilience and counter-attacking potential could pose challenges, but Grenoble's overall balance may see them through.
Final Score Prediction: Grenoble 2-1 Ajaccio Half Time Score Prediction: Grenoble 1-0 Ajaccio Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%