Match Overview
Carrarese and Cremonese face off in a highly anticipated Serie B match that could have significant implications for both teams' standings. Carrarese, playing at home, will aim to leverage their familiarity with the Stadio dei Marmi to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Cremonese, with a stronger season performance, will look to assert their dominance and continue their push for promotion.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Cremonese, with odds of 2.1 for an away win compared to 3.66 for a Carrarese victory and 3.11 for a draw. This translates to a probability of approximately 47.6% for Cremonese to win, 27.3% for Carrarese, and 32.1% for a draw. The odds indicate that Cremonese is favored, but the possibility of a draw remains significant.
Team Analysis
Carrarese
- Current Form: Carrarese has struggled this season, with an average of 0.96 goals per match and a possession rate of 50.59%.
- Strengths: Their defensive resilience is notable, with 38.78 interceptions per game.
- Weaknesses: Offensively, they have been less effective, with only 3.78 shots on target per match.
Cremonese
- Current Form: Cremonese has shown better form, averaging 1.44 goals per match and a higher possession rate of 57.63%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are strong, with 13.85 shots per game and a high expected goals rate of 1.59.
- Weaknesses: They have a slightly higher rate of dangerous own half losses at 4.19 per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Cremonese has had the upper hand in recent encounters, often outscoring Carrarese. This trend could continue given their current form and statistical advantages.
Tactical Approaches
Carrarese may adopt a more defensive approach, focusing on counter-attacks, while Cremonese is likely to control possession and press high to exploit Carrarese's defensive lapses.
Key Players Spotlight
Carrarese
- N. Schiavi: With 4 goals this season, Schiavi is a key offensive player.
- Marco Bleve: A crucial figure in defense, with a high performance rating.
Cremonese
- Franco Vázquez: Leading scorer with 9 goals, Vázquez is a constant threat.
- Paulo Azzi: A versatile player contributing significantly to both defense and attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Cremonese leads with 1.44 goals per game compared to Carrarese's 0.96.
- Defensive Metrics: Carrarese concedes 1.3 goals per game, slightly higher than Cremonese's 1.07.
- Possession and Passing: Cremonese's superior possession (57.63%) and passing accuracy (404.96 successful passes) could be decisive.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on current form and statistical analysis, Cremonese is likely to emerge victorious. Key factors include their superior offensive metrics and possession control. However, Carrarese's home advantage and potential for counter-attacks could make the match competitive.
Final Score Prediction: Cremonese 2-1 Carrarese Half Time Score Prediction: Cremonese 1-0 Carrarese Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%