[MATCH OVERVIEW] Cosenza and Modena are set to face off in a pivotal Serie B match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. Cosenza, currently struggling in the lower half of the table, is desperate for a win to boost their survival hopes. Meanwhile, Modena is eyeing promotion and will be keen to capitalize on their superior form.
[ODDS ANALYSIS] The odds favor Modena with an average of 1.72, indicating a 58.14% probability of an away win. Cosenza's odds of 4.6 suggest a 21.74% chance of a home victory, while a draw is priced at 3.47, giving it a 28.82% probability. Modena's strong form and higher odds make them the expected winners.
[TEAM ANALYSIS] Cosenza has struggled this season, averaging only 0.86 goals per match and conceding 1.44. Their possession rate of 48.53% reflects their difficulty in controlling games. Modena, on the other hand, has a better goal average of 1.28 and a slightly lower concession rate of 1.31, showcasing a more balanced approach.
Head-to-head, Modena has the upper hand with a higher CompaScore Rating of 1466.88 compared to Cosenza's 1450.23. Modena's offensive prowess, highlighted by their 424.82 CompaScore Offensive Rating, could be decisive.
[KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT] Cosenza's Simone Mazzocchi and Gabriele Artistico, both with 4 goals, will be crucial in their attacking efforts. Modena's Antonio Palumbo, with 9 goals, is a key threat, supported by Pedro Mendes and Giuseppe Caso.
[STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE] Modena's offensive metrics, including 1.36 expected goals per match, surpass Cosenza's 1.22. Defensively, Modena's expected goals against of 1.43 is slightly better than Cosenza's 1.59, indicating a tighter defense.
[PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION] Modena's superior form and statistical advantages make them favorites to win. Key factors include their higher goal-scoring ability and defensive solidity. Expect Modena to dominate possession and create more chances.
Final Score Prediction: Modena 2-1 Cosenza Half Time Score Prediction: Modena 1-0 Cosenza Probability of Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 55%