Match Overview
Querétaro and Puebla face off in a pivotal Liga MX match that could shape their respective seasons. Querétaro, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with Estadio Corregidora to secure a win. Meanwhile, Puebla aims to capitalize on their recent form to climb the league standings.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Querétaro slightly favored at 2.28, indicating a 43.86% probability of winning. The odds for a draw stand at 3.3, translating to a 30.30% chance, while Puebla's odds of 3.01 give them a 33.22% probability of victory. The odds imply a closely contested match, with Querétaro having a slight edge.
Team Analysis
Querétaro
- Current Form: Querétaro has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.84 goals per match.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbles (17.84 per match) and interceptions (38.8 per match).
- Weaknesses: Low possession (40.56%) and high goals conceded (1.76 per match).
- Head-to-Head: Querétaro has had mixed results against Puebla in recent encounters.
Puebla
- Current Form: Puebla has shown better offensive capabilities, averaging 1.08 goals per match.
- Strengths: Effective in duels (215.85 per match) and successful dribbles (15.58 per match).
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.65 goals per match and lower possession (38.35%).
- Head-to-Head: Puebla has been competitive against Querétaro, often matching their intensity.
Key Players Spotlight
- Querétaro: Pablo Barrera and Rubio Rubín, both with 3 goals, are crucial for Querétaro's attack.
- Puebla: Emiliano Gómez, with 5 goals, and Ricardo Marín, with 4 goals, are key threats.
- Matchup: The battle between Querétaro's defense and Puebla's forwards will be decisive.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Puebla leads in shots (10.88) and shots on target (3.77) compared to Querétaro.
- Defensive Metrics: Querétaro's interceptions (38.8) could disrupt Puebla's attacking flow.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams struggle with possession, but Querétaro has a slight edge in successful passes.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Querétaro's home advantage and defensive capabilities might give them a slight edge. However, Puebla's offensive prowess cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factor could be Querétaro's ability to capitalize on counter-attacks and set-pieces. Expect a closely fought contest with a potential final score of 1-1, reflecting the balanced nature of both teams.