Match Overview
Estoril and Farense face off in a pivotal Primeira Liga match that could shape their respective seasons. Estoril, playing at home, will look to leverage their attacking prowess, while Farense aims to capitalize on their defensive strengths.
Odds Analysis
- Home Win: 2.03
- Draw: 3.15
- Away Win: 3.49
The odds suggest a slight edge for Estoril, with a 49.3% probability of winning, compared to Farense's 28.6%. The draw stands at 31.7%, indicating a competitive match.
Team Analysis
Estoril
- Current Form: Estoril has shown a mixed form with an average of 1.35 goals per match.
- Strengths: High dribble success rate (60.9%) and offensive capabilities with 65.22% of matches over 2.5 goals.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.52 goals per match.
Farense
- Current Form: Farense struggles offensively with only 0.63 goals per match.
- Strengths: Strong defensive metrics with 43.33 interceptions per match.
- Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate and possession (41.25%).
Head-to-Head
Estoril and Farense have had closely contested matches in the past, with Estoril often having the upper hand at home.
Tactical Approaches
Estoril is likely to adopt an attacking approach, focusing on exploiting Farense's defensive gaps. Farense may rely on counter-attacks and set-pieces to create scoring opportunities.
Key Players Spotlight
Estoril
- Alejandro Marqués: Top scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Estoril's attack.
- João Carvalho: Key playmaker with 5 goals and significant assists.
Farense
- Tomané: Leading scorer with 3 goals, pivotal in Farense's offensive plays.
- Ricardo Velho: Defensive stalwart, contributing significantly to Farense's backline.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Estoril averages 9.39 shots per match, while Farense has 10.17.
- Defensive Metrics: Farense leads in clearances (7.21) compared to Estoril's 5.09.
- Possession: Estoril holds a slight edge with 47.61% possession.
Prediction and Conclusion
Estoril's home advantage and superior attacking stats suggest they are favorites. Key factors include Marqués' goal-scoring form and Farense's defensive resilience. Expect a closely fought match with Estoril edging out a win.
Final Score Prediction: Estoril 2-1 Farense Half Time Score Prediction: Estoril 1-0 Farense Both Teams to Score Probability: 56.52% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65.22%