[MATCH OVERVIEW] Deportivo Alavés and Valencia are set to face off in a pivotal La Liga match that could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. As the season draws to a close, both teams are eager to secure vital points to improve their standings. The Mendizorrotza Stadium will host this exciting clash, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 on May 14, 2025.
[ODDS ANALYSIS] The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Deportivo Alavés slightly favored at 2.04, while Valencia's odds stand at 3.89, and a draw is priced at 3.23. This translates to a probability of approximately 48.8% for a home win, 25.7% for an away win, and 30.9% for a draw. Based on these odds, Deportivo Alavés are expected to have a slight edge, but Valencia's potential for an upset cannot be discounted.
[TEAM ANALYSIS] Deportivo Alavés have shown resilience this season, with an average of 1.03 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.32%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.35 goals per game. However, their offensive output has been modest, with only 0.59 assists per match. Valencia, on the other hand, have averaged 1.18 goals per game and possess a slightly higher possession rate of 48.03%. Their defense has been more vulnerable, conceding 1.5 goals per match.
In head-to-head encounters, Deportivo Alavés have struggled against Valencia, with Valencia often coming out on top. Tactically, Alavés may focus on a defensive setup, aiming to capitalize on counter-attacks, while Valencia might employ a more possession-based approach to control the game.
[KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT] For Deportivo Alavés, Kike García has been a standout performer, netting 12 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for Alavés. Valencia's Hugo Duro, with 10 goals, will be a key threat, alongside Diego López, who has scored 7 goals. The matchup between García and Duro could be decisive in determining the outcome.
[STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE] Deportivo Alavés have averaged 9.38 shots per game, with 3.47 on target, while Valencia have managed 9.5 shots, with 3.06 on target. Defensively, Alavés have made 37.79 interceptions per match, compared to Valencia's 36.03. Valencia's higher pass completion rate of 335.76 successful passes per game could give them an edge in maintaining possession.
[PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION] Considering the statistical data and odds, Deportivo Alavés are slightly favored to win, but Valencia's attacking prowess could lead to a closely contested match. Key factors such as Kike García's goal-scoring form and Valencia's possession strategy will be crucial. The final score prediction is a narrow 2-1 victory for Deportivo Alavés, with a half-time score of 1-1. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 61.76%, and the chances of over 2.5 goals stand at 47.06%.