Match Overview
Deportivo Alavés and Villarreal face off in a pivotal La Liga match that could shape their respective seasons. Alavés, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estadio de Mendizorroza to secure a win. Meanwhile, Villarreal aims to capitalize on their superior form and climb the league table.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a closely contested match, with Villarreal slightly favored at 2.43 compared to Alavés' 2.94. The draw is priced at 3.2, indicating a competitive game. The probabilities reflect a 34% chance for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 41% for an away victory. Villarreal's edge in the odds suggests they are expected to come out on top, but Alavés' home advantage cannot be underestimated.
Team Analysis
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Alavés have shown mixed form this season, with an average of 1.12 goals per game and a possession rate of 45.76%.
- Strengths: Strong in duels with a success rate of 48.8% and effective in dribbles, completing 11.56 per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.56 goals per game, and a lower pass completion rate of 77.4%.
Villarreal
- Current Form: Villarreal have been more consistent, scoring 1.92 goals per game and maintaining 47.96% possession.
- Strengths: High offensive output with 13.2 shots per game and a solid passing game, completing 84.6% of passes.
- Weaknesses: Defensive lapses, conceding 1.4 goals per game, and prone to dangerous own half losses.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Villarreal have had the upper hand in recent encounters, often outscoring Alavés. This trend could continue given their current form.
Tactical Approaches
Alavés may adopt a counter-attacking strategy, utilizing their dribbling prowess to exploit spaces. Villarreal, on the other hand, will likely focus on maintaining possession and creating chances through their superior passing game.
Key Players Spotlight
Deportivo Alavés
- Kike García: Top scorer with 10 goals, crucial for Alavés' attacking threat.
- Carles Aleñá: Key playmaker with significant influence in midfield.
Villarreal
- Ayoze Pérez: Leading scorer with 11 goals, pivotal in Villarreal's attack.
- Álex Baena: Creative force, contributing with 6 goals and numerous assists.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Villarreal lead with 1.92 goals per game compared to Alavés' 1.12.
- Defensive Metrics: Alavés concede more goals (1.56) than Villarreal (1.4), highlighting defensive challenges.
- Passing and Possession: Villarreal's superior passing accuracy (84.6%) gives them a tactical edge.
Prediction and Conclusion
Villarreal's offensive strength and passing accuracy make them favorites to win. Alavés' home advantage and counter-attacking potential could pose challenges, but Villarreal's form suggests they will prevail. Key factors include Villarreal's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and Alavés' defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Villarreal 2-1 Deportivo Alavés Half Time Score Prediction: Villarreal 1-0 Deportivo Alavés Both Teams to Score Probability: 65% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%