[MATCH OVERVIEW] Eyüpspor and İstanbul Başakşehir are set to face off in a highly anticipated Turkey Super League match. This game is crucial for both teams as they aim to secure their positions in the league standings. The match will take place at Eyüpspor's home ground, providing them with a slight advantage.
[ODDS ANALYSIS] The average odds suggest a closely contested match, with Eyüpspor having odds of 2.71 to win, while İstanbul Başakşehir is slightly favored with odds of 2.53. The draw is priced at 3.27, indicating a competitive game. The probabilities based on these odds are:
- Eyüpspor win: 36.9%
- Draw: 30.6%
- İstanbul Başakşehir win: 39.5% Given the odds, İstanbul Başakşehir is expected to edge out Eyüpspor, but the home advantage could play a significant role.
[TEAM ANALYSIS] Eyüpspor has shown decent form this season, with an average of 1.48 goals per match and a possession rate of 52.15%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.07 goals per game. However, their expected goals against (1.55) suggest potential vulnerabilities. İstanbul Başakşehir, on the other hand, boasts a slightly higher goal average of 1.58 and a possession rate of 54.04%. Their defense has been less stable, conceding 1.42 goals per match, but their expected goals against (1.23) indicate a stronger defensive setup.
[KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT] Eyüpspor's Mame Thiam, with 12 goals this season, will be a key player to watch. His ability to find the net could be crucial for Eyüpspor's success. Ahmed Kutucu and Emre Akbaba also add depth to their attacking options. İstanbul Başakşehir's Krzysztof Piatek, with an impressive 18 goals, is a formidable threat. His matchup against Eyüpspor's defense will be pivotal. Deniz Türüç and João Figueiredo provide additional attacking prowess.
[STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE] Eyüpspor's offensive metrics show an average of 9.96 shots per game, with 4.48 on target. Their dribbling success rate is commendable at 14.22 successful dribbles per match. İstanbul Başakşehir averages 10.77 shots per game, with 4.42 on target, and a slightly higher dribbling success rate of 14.35. Defensively, Eyüpspor averages 39.22 interceptions, while İstanbul Başakşehir averages 35.5, indicating Eyüpspor's proactive defensive approach.
[PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION] Based on the data, İstanbul Başakşehir is slightly favored to win, but Eyüpspor's home advantage and solid defensive metrics could lead to a draw. Key factors will include Eyüpspor's ability to contain Piatek and capitalize on their possession. Final score prediction: 1-1 Half-time score prediction: 0-0 Both teams to score probability: 59.26% Over 2.5 goals probability: 48.15%