MATCH OVERVIEW
Stuttgart and Freiburg are set to face off in a crucial Bundesliga match that could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. Stuttgart, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their strong form this season, while Freiburg aims to upset the odds and secure valuable points on the road. The Mercedes-Benz Arena will be the stage for this exciting clash, with kick-off scheduled for 14:30 GMT on February 1, 2026.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Stuttgart as the favorites with odds of 1.64, translating to a 60.98% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.81, giving it a 26.25% chance, while Freiburg's odds of 4.25 imply a 23.53% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Stuttgart is expected to have the upper hand, but Freiburg's potential to cause an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Stuttgart
Stuttgart has been in impressive form this season, averaging 1.83 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 56.61%. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by their 72.22% over 2.5 goals percentage and a 61.11% both teams to score percentage. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.44 goals per game, with a solid expected goals against of 1.48.
Freiburg
Freiburg, on the other hand, averages 1.61 goals per match with a possession rate of 53.17%. They have a 66.67% over 2.5 goals percentage and an identical both teams to score percentage. Defensively, they concede 1.72 goals per game, with an expected goals against of 1.37, indicating potential vulnerabilities at the back.
Head-to-Head
In their recent encounters, Stuttgart has had the upper hand, but Freiburg has shown they can compete closely. Tactical approaches will be crucial, with Stuttgart likely to leverage their home advantage and attacking depth, while Freiburg may focus on counter-attacks and set-pieces.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Stuttgart
- Deniz Undav: With 10 goals this season, Undav is Stuttgart's top scorer and a key threat in attack.
- Maximilian Mittelstädt: Contributing both defensively and offensively, Mittelstädt has scored 3 goals and is vital in Stuttgart's midfield.
Freiburg
- Vincenzo Grifo: Leading Freiburg's attack with 6 goals, Grifo's creativity and finishing will be crucial.
- Matthias Ginter: A defensive stalwart, Ginter's experience and leadership are pivotal for Freiburg's backline.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Stuttgart: Average 14.83 shots per game with 5.94 on target, showcasing their attacking intent.
- Freiburg: Average 11.61 shots per game with 4.33 on target, indicating a need for efficiency in front of goal.
- Possession and Passing: Stuttgart's higher possession and passing accuracy could dictate the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Stuttgart's home advantage and superior attacking metrics make them favorites for this encounter. Key factors include their ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity. Freiburg will need to exploit set-pieces and counter-attacks to challenge Stuttgart's dominance.
Final Score Prediction: Stuttgart 2-1 Freiburg Half Time Score Prediction: Stuttgart 1-0 Freiburg Both Teams to Score Probability: 61% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 72%
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