MATCH OVERVIEW
Port Vale and AFC Wimbledon are gearing up for a pivotal League 1 match that could influence their standings in the league. With both teams striving for a better position, this encounter at Vale Park is expected to be fiercely contested. Scheduled for January 27, 2026, at 19:45 GMT, fans can anticipate a thrilling battle under the lights.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Port Vale with odds of 2.19, indicating a 45.7% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.13, translating to a 31.9% chance, while AFC Wimbledon is seen as the underdog with odds of 3.3, giving them a 30.3% probability of winning. Based on these odds, Port Vale is favored to secure a victory, but the close margins suggest a competitive match.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Port Vale
- Current Form & Statistics: Port Vale has played 24 matches this season, with a modest goal-scoring record of 0.75 goals per game. Their defense concedes an average of 1.42 goals per match.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: The team shows strength in dribbling, with 14.08 successful dribbles per game, but struggles in goal-scoring and maintaining possession.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Port Vale has had mixed results against AFC Wimbledon, making this match unpredictable.
AFC Wimbledon
- Current Form & Statistics: AFC Wimbledon has played 25 matches, scoring an average of 1.08 goals per game while conceding 1.36.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: They have a slightly better offensive output compared to Port Vale but face challenges in defense, as indicated by their expected goals against of 1.35.
- Head-to-Head: AFC Wimbledon will look to leverage their offensive capabilities to challenge Port Vale's defense.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Port Vale
- Devante Cole: With 6 goals this season, Cole is a key player for Port Vale, providing crucial attacking prowess.
- Lorent Tolaj: His contributions in midfield are vital, with a season rating of 144.93 points.
AFC Wimbledon
- Marcus Browne: Leading the team with 6 goals, Browne is a significant threat in the attacking third.
- Joe Lewis: A defensive stalwart, Lewis has accumulated 146.74 points this season, highlighting his importance.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Port Vale averages 11.29 shots per game, with 3.21 on target, while AFC Wimbledon averages 8.92 shots, with 2.72 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Port Vale's defense is slightly more porous, conceding 1.42 goals per game compared to AFC Wimbledon's 1.36.
- Possession & Passing: Both teams have similar possession stats, with Port Vale at 46.5% and AFC Wimbledon at 45.8%, indicating a balanced midfield battle.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Port Vale is slightly favored to win, but AFC Wimbledon's offensive capabilities cannot be underestimated. Key factors such as Devante Cole's goal-scoring form and Marcus Browne's attacking threat will be crucial. Expect a closely fought match with potential for both teams to score.
Final Score Prediction: Port Vale 1-1 AFC Wimbledon Half Time Score Prediction: Port Vale 0-0 AFC Wimbledon Probability of Both Teams to Score: 50% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 40%
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