Match Overview
Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca face off in a pivotal La Liga match that could significantly impact their standings this season. Athletic Bilbao, currently enjoying a solid run, will aim to maintain their momentum at home. Meanwhile, Mallorca, struggling to find consistency, will be eager to turn their fortunes around with a surprise win.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are heavily in favor of Athletic Bilbao, with a home win priced at 1.5, a draw at 4.17, and an away win at 6.91. This translates to a 66.7% probability for a Bilbao victory, a 24% chance for a draw, and a mere 14.5% likelihood for a Mallorca win. Given these odds, Athletic Bilbao is expected to dominate, but Mallorca's potential for an upset cannot be entirely dismissed.
Team Analysis
Athletic Bilbao
- Current Form: Athletic Bilbao has been impressive this season, with an average of 1.76 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.88 goals per game.
- Strengths: Strong offensive play with 12.68 shots per game and a high BTTS percentage of 68%.
- Weaknesses: Possession could be improved, averaging 48.96%.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Bilbao has had the upper hand against Mallorca, often securing victories at home.
Mallorca
- Current Form: Mallorca has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.96 goals per match.
- Strengths: Defensive resilience with 41.36 interceptions per game.
- Weaknesses: Low scoring rate and a high number of dangerous own half losses (6.16 per game).
- Head-to-Head: Mallorca has found it challenging to secure wins against Bilbao, especially away from home.
Key Players Spotlight
- Athletic Bilbao: Oihan Sancet, with 13 goals this season, is a key player to watch. His ability to find the net could be crucial.
- Mallorca: Vedat Muriqi, leading with 6 goals, will be vital for Mallorca's attacking efforts.
- Matchup: The battle between Bilbao's Sancet and Mallorca's Muriqi could be decisive in determining the match's outcome.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Bilbao averages 1.76 goals and 12.68 shots per game, while Mallorca manages 0.96 goals and 8.8 shots.
- Defensive Metrics: Bilbao's defense is robust, conceding 0.88 goals per game compared to Mallorca's 1.24.
- Possession and Passing: Bilbao's passing accuracy is higher, with 342.28 successful passes per game compared to Mallorca's 304.8.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Athletic Bilbao is favored to win, leveraging their strong home form and superior offensive capabilities. Key factors include Bilbao's ability to maintain pressure and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Mallorca will need to tighten their defense and exploit counter-attacks to stand a chance.
Final Score Prediction: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Mallorca Half Time Score Prediction: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Mallorca Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%