[MATCH OVERVIEW] La Liga fans are in for a treat as Deportivo Alavés host Real Madrid in a highly anticipated match at the Mendizorrotza Stadium. Scheduled for April 13, 2025, at 14:15, this encounter promises to be a thrilling spectacle as both teams vie for crucial points in the league. With Real Madrid aiming to solidify their position at the top and Alavés fighting to climb the table, the stakes are high in this mid-season showdown.
[ODDS ANALYSIS] The odds are heavily in favor of Real Madrid, with an average of 1.62 for an away win, translating to a probability of approximately 61.7%. Deportivo Alavés, on the other hand, have odds of 5.11, indicating a 19.6% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 4.06, suggesting an 24.6% probability. Given these odds, Real Madrid is expected to dominate, but Alavés could spring a surprise if they capitalize on their home advantage.
[TEAM ANALYSIS] Deportivo Alavés have had a mixed season, with an average of 1.1 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.66%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.52 goals per game. Real Madrid, contrastingly, boast a strong offensive record with 2.14 goals per match and a possession rate of 59.83%. Their defense is more robust, conceding only 1 goal per game. Head-to-head, Real Madrid has historically had the upper hand, but Alavés will look to leverage their home crowd support.
[KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT] Kike García is the standout performer for Alavés, having scored 11 goals this season. He will be crucial in breaking down Real Madrid's defense. For Real Madrid, Kylian Mbappé is the key player, with 22 goals to his name. The matchup between García and Mbappé could be decisive in determining the outcome of the game.
[STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE] Real Madrid's offensive metrics are superior, with 15.55 shots per game compared to Alavés' 9.34. Defensively, Madrid's 3.97 successful tackles per match outshine Alavés' 3.03. Madrid's passing accuracy is also higher, with 535.28 successful passes per game versus Alavés' 255.79. These statistics highlight Madrid's dominance in both attack and defense.
[PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION] Based on the data, Real Madrid is likely to secure a victory, driven by their superior offensive and defensive capabilities. Alavés will need to exploit any weaknesses in Madrid's setup and rely on García's scoring prowess. The final score prediction is a 3-1 win for Real Madrid, with a halftime score of 1-0. Key factors include Madrid's attacking depth and Alavés' home advantage.