MATCH OVERVIEW
Monza and Frosinone are gearing up for a thrilling Serie B encounter at the Stadio Brianteo. Scheduled for January 17, 2026, at 14:00, this match holds significant weight in the current season as both teams aim to strengthen their positions in the league table. Monza, known for their disciplined defense, will face a formidable Frosinone side that boasts a potent attack.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 1.7 for a Monza win, 3.49 for a draw, and 4.51 for a Frosinone victory. These odds suggest a 58.8% probability of a home win, a 28.7% chance of a draw, and a 22.2% likelihood of an away win. Given these probabilities, Monza is favored to secure the three points, but Frosinone's attacking threat cannot be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Monza has been consistent this season, with an average of 1.42 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.79 goals per game. Their possession rate of 52.89% indicates a team comfortable with controlling the game. However, their over 2.5 goals percentage is relatively low at 36.84%, suggesting a more conservative approach.
Frosinone, on the other hand, averages 1.89 goals per match and has a higher over 2.5 goals percentage at 52.63%. Their possession is slightly lower at 49.47%, but they make up for it with a higher number of shots and successful dribbles, indicating a more direct and aggressive style of play.
Head-to-head, Monza's defensive solidity will be tested against Frosinone's attacking flair. Monza's tactical approach will likely focus on maintaining possession and exploiting set-piece opportunities, while Frosinone will aim to capitalize on quick transitions and counter-attacks.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Monza, Dany Mota and Samuele Birindelli, both with 4 goals this season, will be key in breaking down Frosinone's defense. Armando Izzo, with 3 goals, also provides a threat from set-pieces.
Frosinone's attack is spearheaded by Farès Ghedjemis, who has netted 7 goals this season, and Antonio Raimondo, with 6 goals. Their ability to find the back of the net will be crucial in overcoming Monza's defensive setup.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Monza's average possession and passing accuracy highlight their control-oriented play, while Frosinone's higher shot count and dribbles per game underscore their attacking intent. Defensively, both teams are evenly matched, with Monza slightly edging in interceptions and clearances.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Monza's home advantage and defensive strength make them slight favorites. However, Frosinone's attacking capabilities mean they are more than capable of causing an upset. The key to the match will be Monza's ability to contain Frosinone's forwards and capitalize on their own scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: Monza 2-1 Frosinone. Expect a closely contested match with both teams finding the net, but Monza edging it with their home advantage and tactical discipline.