MATCH OVERVIEW
Newport County welcomes Chesterfield to Rodney Parade for a pivotal League 2 match on January 24, 2026. This encounter is crucial for both teams as they navigate the challenges of the season. Newport County, currently struggling in the lower half of the table, will be keen to leverage their home advantage to climb the standings. Meanwhile, Chesterfield, sitting comfortably in the upper echelons, aims to consolidate their position and push for promotion.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Chesterfield as the favorites with odds of 1.86, translating to a 53.8% probability of winning. Newport County, with odds of 3.77, has a 26.5% chance, while the draw is priced at 3.52, indicating a 28.4% probability. Given these odds, Chesterfield is expected to dominate, but Newport's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Newport County
- Current Form: Newport County has struggled this season, with an average of 1.04 goals per match and conceding 1.84 goals.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is notable at 73%, and they maintain a solid defensive structure with 40 interceptions per game.
- Weaknesses: A low possession rate of 47.48% and a high number of dangerous own half losses (7.44) highlight areas of concern.
Chesterfield
- Current Form: Chesterfield has been impressive, scoring 1.62 goals per match and conceding only 1.35.
- Strengths: They excel in possession (58%) and passing accuracy, with 368.38 successful passes per game.
- Weaknesses: Despite their strengths, they have a slightly higher yellow card average (2.12) which could impact discipline.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Chesterfield has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Newport's home form could level the playing field.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Newport County
- Courtney Baker-Richardson: Leading scorer with 4 goals, his performance will be crucial.
- Harrison Biggins: A key midfielder with 115.92 points, his playmaking abilities are vital.
Chesterfield
- Lee Bonis: Top scorer with 7 goals, his attacking prowess is a significant threat.
- Kyle McFadzean: Defensive stalwart with 130.96 points, his leadership at the back is essential.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Chesterfield averages more shots (10.31) and goals (1.62) compared to Newport's 9.84 shots and 1.04 goals.
- Defensive Metrics: Newport's higher interception rate (40) could disrupt Chesterfield's attacking flow.
- Possession and Passing: Chesterfield's superior possession (58%) and passing accuracy give them a tactical edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Chesterfield's form and statistical advantages make them the favorites, but Newport's home advantage and defensive capabilities could lead to a closer contest than expected. Key factors include Chesterfield's ability to maintain discipline and Newport's need to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: Chesterfield 2-1 Newport County Half Time Score Prediction: Chesterfield 1-0 Newport County Both Teams to Score Probability: 65% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 56%
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