MATCH OVERVIEW
Borussia Dortmund and Atalanta are gearing up for a crucial UEFA Champions League match at Signal Iduna Park. Scheduled for February 18, 2026, at 20:00 CET, this fixture holds significant weight in the group stage standings. Dortmund, known for their attacking flair, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Atalanta aims to upset the odds with their disciplined approach.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 1.86 for a Dortmund win, 3.63 for a draw, and 4.05 for an Atalanta victory. These odds suggest a 53.8% probability for a Dortmund win, a 27.6% chance for a draw, and an 24.7% likelihood for Atalanta to triumph. Given Dortmund's home advantage and superior form, they are the favorites, but Atalanta's potential for an upset cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Borussia Dortmund
- Current Form: Dortmund has been impressive this season, averaging 2.38 goals per match and maintaining a 75% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals.
- Strengths: High possession (53.75%), strong offensive metrics with 11 shots per game, and a solid passing game with 506.25 passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 2.13 goals per game.
Atalanta
- Current Form: Atalanta averages 1.25 goals per match and has a 62.5% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals.
- Strengths: Effective dribbling (17.63 successful dribbles per game) and a robust defense with only 1.25 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Lower goal-scoring rate and fewer assists (0.75 per match).
Head-to-Head
This is a rare encounter between the two sides, adding an element of unpredictability. Dortmund's home advantage and attacking depth could be decisive.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Borussia Dortmund
- Nico Schlotterbeck: Leading with 280.24 points, a key defensive figure.
- Julian Brandt: With 3 goals this season, he is crucial in Dortmund's attacking setup.
Atalanta
- Charles De Ketelaere: Top performer with 286.13 points, pivotal in midfield.
- Ademola Lookman: A dynamic forward with 222.91 points, capable of breaking defenses.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Dortmund averages 2.38 goals and 11 shots per game, while Atalanta has 1.25 goals and 13.25 shots.
- Defensive Metrics: Dortmund concedes 2.13 goals per game, whereas Atalanta concedes 1.25.
- Possession and Passing: Dortmund leads with 53.75% possession and 506.25 passes, compared to Atalanta's 51.88% and 498.63 passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Dortmund's attacking strength and home advantage make them favorites, but Atalanta's disciplined defense could pose challenges. Key factors include Dortmund's ability to exploit Atalanta's defensive gaps and Atalanta's counter-attacking potential. Expect a competitive match with Dortmund edging out a victory.
Final Score Prediction: Dortmund 2-1 Atalanta Half Time Score Prediction: Dortmund 1-0 Atalanta Both Teams to Score Probability: 62.5% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 70%
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