MATCH OVERVIEW
The Serie B clash between Mantova and Venezia is set to be a pivotal match in the current season. With Venezia sitting higher in the league standings, they are keen to maintain their momentum against a Mantova side looking to climb the table. The match will be held at Stadio Danilo Martelli, with kick-off scheduled for 14:00 on January 24, 2026.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong leaning towards an away victory for Venezia, with odds of 1.61 compared to Mantova's 4.77. The probability of a draw stands at 3.82. These odds translate to a 62.1% chance of a Venezia win, a 20.9% chance for Mantova, and a 26.2% probability of a draw. Given these figures, Venezia is expected to dominate, but Mantova's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mantova
- Current Form: Mantova has struggled this season, averaging 0.9 goals per match while conceding 1.45.
- Strengths: High possession rate (59.55%) and a decent number of successful dribbles (17.25 per match).
- Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate and a high expected goals against (1.76).
Venezia
- Current Form: Venezia has been impressive, scoring 1.85 goals per match and conceding only 0.8.
- Strengths: Strong offensive capabilities with an expected goals of 2.35 and solid defensive performance.
- Weaknesses: Slightly higher number of dangerous own half losses (4.75).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Venezia has had the upper hand in this fixture, and their current form suggests they are likely to continue this trend.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mantova
- Francesco Ruocco: Leading scorer with 5 goals, crucial for Mantova's attacking play.
- Leonardo Mancuso: Another key player with 4 goals this season.
Venezia
- Andrea Adorante: Top scorer with 9 goals, pivotal in Venezia's attack.
- John Yeboah: Contributing 7 goals, a significant threat to Mantova's defense.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Venezia averages 16.55 shots per match compared to Mantova's 13.7.
- Defensive Metrics: Venezia's defense is more robust, conceding only 0.8 goals per match.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams have high possession rates, but Venezia's passing accuracy and key passes are superior.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Venezia is likely to secure a victory, leveraging their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Key factors include Venezia's goal-scoring prowess and Mantova's defensive vulnerabilities. The final score prediction is a 2-1 victory for Venezia, with a half-time score of 1-0. The probability for both teams to score is 55%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 60%.
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