MATCH OVERVIEW
Excelsior and PEC Zwolle are gearing up for a crucial Eredivisie match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. With both teams having played 15 matches so far, they are looking to capitalize on their strengths and address their weaknesses. The match will be held at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, providing Excelsior with the home advantage.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle. Excelsior is slightly favored with odds of 2.17, indicating a 46.1% probability of winning. PEC Zwolle's odds stand at 2.79, translating to a 35.8% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 3.44, with a 29.1% probability. These odds reflect the competitive nature of the match, with Excelsior having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Excelsior
Excelsior has shown a mixed form this season, with a possession rate of 46.07% and an average of 0.93 goals per match. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.73 goals per game. However, their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an expected goals (xG) of 1.32. Key players like Noah Naujoks, who has scored 4 goals, will be crucial in this fixture.
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle has been slightly more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.27 goals per match. Their defensive struggles are evident with 2.4 goals conceded per game. Despite this, their expected goals (xG) of 0.99 suggests potential for improvement. Koen Kostons, with 7 goals, is a player to watch.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Excelsior
- Noah Naujoks: 4 goals this season, pivotal in attack.
- Stijn van Gassel: Key defensive player with 342.03 points.
PEC Zwolle
- Koen Kostons: Leading scorer with 7 goals.
- Tom de Graaff: Defensive stalwart with 204.4 points.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Excelsior: 10.47 shots per game, 4 on target.
- PEC Zwolle: 8.27 shots per game, 2.87 on target.
- Excelsior: 5.13 goalkeeper saves per match.
- PEC Zwolle: 4.67 goalkeeper saves per match.
Possession and Passing
- Excelsior: 362.2 passes per game, 291.13 successful.
- PEC Zwolle: 350.13 passes per game, 280.67 successful.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Excelsior holds a slight advantage due to their home ground and slightly better odds. However, PEC Zwolle's attacking prowess cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Excelsior's ability to capitalize on their expected goals and PEC Zwolle's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Excelsior 2-1 PEC Zwolle Half Time Score Prediction: Excelsior 1-1 PEC Zwolle Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 65%
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