MATCH OVERVIEW
Real Zaragoza will face Castellón in a pivotal La Liga 2 match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. With both teams vying for crucial points, the stakes are high as they meet at Estadio La Romareda. The match is scheduled for January 25, 2026, at 17:30, and fans can expect an intense battle.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive fixture, with Castellón slightly favored to win at 1.88, compared to Real Zaragoza's 3.57. The draw is priced at 3.29, indicating a balanced contest. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 27.9% for a home win, 30.4% for a draw, and 53.2% for an away win. Castellón's higher probability reflects their stronger form and league position.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Real Zaragoza
- Current Form: Real Zaragoza has struggled this season, with an average of 0.95 goals per match and a concerning 1.62 goals conceded per game.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is impressive at 74.6%, and they maintain a solid interception rate of 39.43 per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with a high expected goals against (xGA) of 1.42.
Castellón
- Current Form: Castellón has been more consistent, averaging 1.64 goals per match and conceding only 1.14.
- Strengths: They excel in possession (55%) and have a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.75.
- Weaknesses: Their defense can be breached, as indicated by their 1.13 xGA.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Castellón has had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could play a psychological role in this fixture.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Real Zaragoza
- Kenan Kodro: Leading scorer with 6 goals, crucial for Zaragoza's attacking play.
- Raúl Guti: A key midfielder with 122.86 points, instrumental in both defense and attack.
Castellón
- Álex Calatrava: Top performer with 177.97 points and 5 goals, pivotal in Castellón's offensive strategy.
- Brian Cipenga: Another key player with 4 goals, providing depth in attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Castellón leads with 13.05 shots per game compared to Zaragoza's 11.43.
- Defensive Metrics: Zaragoza's higher interception rate (39.43) could be crucial in disrupting Castellón's play.
- Possession and Passing: Castellón's superior possession (55%) and passing accuracy could dictate the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on current form and statistical analysis, Castellón is likely to edge out Real Zaragoza. Their superior offensive capabilities and defensive solidity give them the upper hand. Key factors include Castellón's ability to maintain possession and exploit Zaragoza's defensive lapses.
Final Score Prediction: Real Zaragoza 1-2 Castellón Half Time Score Prediction: Real Zaragoza 0-1 Castellón Both Teams to Score Probability: 57% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50%
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