Match Overview
The upcoming clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Waldhof Mannheim in the 3. Liga is set to be a captivating contest. Both teams have shown competitive form this season, making this match a crucial one in their campaign. Erzgebirge Aue, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Erzgebirgsstadion to gain an advantage over their opponents.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are quite balanced, with Erzgebirge Aue at 2.62, a draw at 3.45, and Waldhof Mannheim at 2.55. This suggests a closely contested match, with the probabilities indicating:
- Home Win: 38.17%
- Draw: 28.99%
- Away Win: 39.22%
Given the odds, Waldhof Mannheim slightly edges as favorites, but the home advantage could play a significant role for Erzgebirge Aue.
Team Analysis
Erzgebirge Aue
- Current Form: Erzgebirge Aue has played 27 matches this season, with a notable Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 62.96% and Both Teams To Score percentage of 66.67%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 1.48 goals per match and a solid possession rate of 50.44%.
- Weaknesses: Defensively, they concede an average of 1.59 goals per match, which could be a concern against a potent Mannheim attack.
Waldhof Mannheim
- Current Form: Waldhof Mannheim has played 28 matches, with an Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 50% and Both Teams To Score percentage of 53.57%.
- Strengths: They boast a higher CompaScore Rating of 1351.9, indicating overall better performance metrics.
- Weaknesses: Despite their offensive prowess, they have a slightly lower possession rate compared to Aue.
Key Players Spotlight
Erzgebirge Aue
- Marcel Bär: With 11 goals this season, Bär is a key figure in Aue's attack.
- Marvin Stefaniak: Contributing 6 goals, Stefaniak's playmaking abilities are crucial.
Waldhof Mannheim
- Terrence Boyd: Boyd has scored 6 goals, making him a significant threat.
- André Becker: With 5 goals, Becker adds depth to Mannheim's attacking options.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Aue averages 10.52 shots per match, while Mannheim averages 11.43, indicating a slight edge in attacking intent for Mannheim.
- Defensive Metrics: Aue's average of 41.74 interceptions per match could be pivotal in disrupting Mannheim's play.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams have similar possession rates, but Aue's higher successful passes rate could give them an edge in controlling the game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely contested. The key factors will be Aue's home advantage and their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Waldhof Mannheim's higher CompaScore Rating suggests they might have the upper hand in overall performance.
Final Score Prediction: Erzgebirge Aue 1-2 Waldhof Mannheim Half Time Score Prediction: Erzgebirge Aue 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim Both Teams to Score Probability: 65% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%
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