MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Liga MX match between Guadalajara and Puebla promises to be a captivating encounter. Guadalajara, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage against a resilient Puebla side. This match holds significant importance in the current season as both teams are vying for better positions in the league standings. Estadio Akron will be the venue for this clash, with kick-off set for April 16, 2025, at 01:05 AM UTC.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a favorable outcome for Guadalajara, with odds of 1.58 for a home win. The probability of a draw stands at 3.59, while Puebla's chances of an away victory are rated at 5.31. Based on these odds, Guadalajara is expected to dominate, with a higher likelihood of securing all three points.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Guadalajara
Guadalajara has shown consistent form this season, averaging 32 matches with a possession rate of 51.81%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 1.25 goals per game and a shots on target rate of 3.88. However, their defense has been slightly vulnerable, conceding 1.13 goals per match.
Puebla
Puebla, on the other hand, has struggled with possession, averaging only 38.61%. Despite this, they have managed to score 0.94 goals per game. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.71 goals per match, which could be exploited by Guadalajara's attacking prowess.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Guadalajara has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, often outperforming Puebla in crucial matches. This trend is likely to continue given their current form and home advantage.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Guadalajara
- Roberto Alvarado: With 9 goals this season, Alvarado is a key player for Guadalajara, capable of turning the game in their favor.
- Raúl Rangel: His defensive contributions have been vital, with a season rating of 215.73 points.
Puebla
- Lucas Cavallini: Leading the charge for Puebla with 4 goals, Cavallini's performance will be crucial in breaking down Guadalajara's defense.
- Julio González: A strong presence in defense, González has accumulated 234.19 points this season.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Guadalajara: Averaging 11.13 shots per game, with a successful dribble rate of 16.44.
- Puebla: Similar shot average at 11, but lower successful dribble rate at 15.13.
Defensive Metrics
- Guadalajara: Conceding 1.13 goals per game, with 32.06 interceptions.
- Puebla: Higher concession rate at 1.71 goals, but stronger in interceptions with 40.65.
Possession and Passing
- Guadalajara: 423.59 passes per game, with a success rate of 353.28.
- Puebla: Lower passing average at 313.48, with 247.1 successful passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data and current form, Guadalajara is favored to win this match. Their offensive strength and home advantage are likely to be decisive factors. Puebla's defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited, leading to a potential victory for Guadalajara.
Final Score Prediction
Guadalajara 2-1 Puebla
Half Time Score Prediction
Guadalajara 1-0 Puebla
Match-Winning Factors
- Home advantage for Guadalajara
- Strong offensive performance by key players
- Defensive weaknesses in Puebla's lineup
In conclusion, Guadalajara is expected to secure a win, continuing their strong form in the Liga MX season.
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