MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Arouca and Casa Pia AC is set to be a captivating encounter. Both teams are looking to improve their standings in the league, making this match significant for their seasonal ambitions. Arouca, playing at home, will aim to leverage their familiarity with the Estádio Municipal de Arouca to secure a win. The match kicks off at 15:00 on September 14, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Arouca favored to win at 1.9, indicating a 52.6% probability. The draw is priced at 3.35, translating to a 29.9% chance, while Casa Pia AC's odds of 4 suggest a 25% probability of an away victory. These odds reflect Arouca's stronger form and home advantage, making them the expected winners.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Arouca
Arouca has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 4 matches played. They have a high Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 75%, indicating their attacking prowess. However, their defense has been shaky, conceding an average of 2.75 goals per game. Their possession stands at 48.75%, with a decent passing accuracy.
Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.5 goals per match. Their Over 2.5 Goals percentage is a low 25%, and they have not scored in matches where both teams found the net. Defensively, they concede 2 goals per game, and their possession is slightly lower than Arouca's at 45.75%.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Arouca has had the upper hand in this fixture, often capitalizing on their home advantage. Casa Pia AC will need to break this trend to secure points.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Arouca
- Alfonso Trezza: A key player with 3 goals this season, Trezza's performance will be crucial for Arouca's attacking strategy.
- Naïs Djouahra: Another top scorer with 3 goals, Djouahra's ability to find the net will be vital.
Casa Pia AC
- Tchamba: With 263.71 points, Tchamba is a standout performer and has scored 1 goal this season.
- José Fonte: A defensive stalwart, Fonte's experience will be key in managing Arouca's attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Arouca: Averaging 1.75 goals per game, they have a strong offensive rating of 550.93.
- Casa Pia AC: Struggling with 0.5 goals per game, their offensive rating is lower at 350.41.
Defensive Metrics
- Arouca: Conceding 2.75 goals per game, their defensive rating is 286.08.
- Casa Pia AC: Slightly better defensively, conceding 2 goals per game with a defensive rating of 383.79.
Possession and Passing
- Arouca: 48.75% possession with a passing rating of 439.68.
- Casa Pia AC: 45.75% possession and a passing rating of 258.59.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Arouca is likely to dominate this match, leveraging their home advantage and superior attacking form. Key factors include their higher goal-scoring ability and the impact of players like Alfonso Trezza. Casa Pia AC will need a strong defensive performance to counter Arouca's attack.
Final Score Prediction
Arouca 2-1 Casa Pia AC
Half Time Score Prediction
Arouca 1-0 Casa Pia AC
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 52.6%
- Away Win: 25%
- Draw: 29.9%
- Both Teams to Score: 75%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 75%
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