MATCH OVERVIEW
Dundee and Livingston are set to face off in a crucial Scottish Premiership match at Dens Park. This fixture holds significant importance for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league. Dundee, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Livingston will be keen to maintain their attacking prowess.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Dundee slightly favored at 2.34, Livingston at 2.85, and a draw at 3.62. These odds translate to a 42.7% probability for a Dundee win, 35.1% for Livingston, and 27.6% for a draw. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Dundee having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Dundee
Dundee's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 0.5 goals per match and a possession rate of 39.75%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.25 goals per game. However, their offensive output needs improvement, as indicated by their low expected goals of 0.34.
Livingston
Livingston has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.5 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 43.5%. Their defense, however, has been vulnerable, conceding 2 goals per game. Livingston's attacking threat is highlighted by their expected goals of 1.03, suggesting they can pose significant challenges to Dundee's defense.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Dundee
- Ryan Astley: With 1 goal this season, Astley will be crucial in Dundee's defensive setup.
- Finlay Robertson: Also contributing 1 goal, Robertson's midfield presence will be vital.
Livingston
- Lewis Smith: Leading the scoring charts with 2 goals, Smith's attacking prowess will be key.
- Scott Pittman: Another top performer with 2 goals, Pittman's ability to find the net will be essential.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Dundee: Average shots per game stand at 4.25, with 1.25 on target. Their defensive rating is 293.27.
- Livingston: Averaging 8 shots per game, with 3.75 on target, Livingston's offensive rating is 434.43.
Possession and Passing
- Dundee: Successful passes average 267.5, with a possession rate of 39.75%.
- Livingston: Successful passes average 239.5, with a possession rate of 43.5%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Livingston's attacking form gives them a slight edge, despite Dundee's home advantage. Key factors such as Livingston's higher expected goals and Dundee's defensive solidity will play a crucial role.
Final Score Prediction
Livingston's offensive capabilities might see them edge out Dundee in a closely fought match. Predicted final score: Dundee 1-2 Livingston.
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