MATCH OVERVIEW
Cartagena and Eibar face off in a pivotal La Liga 2 match that could have significant implications for both teams. Cartagena, currently struggling in the lower half of the table, will be eager to secure a home victory to boost their survival hopes. Meanwhile, Eibar, sitting comfortably in the promotion race, will aim to capitalize on their superior form and extend their lead.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Eibar with an average of 1.97, indicating a 50.8% probability of an away win. Cartagena's odds of 4.38 suggest a 22.8% chance of a home victory, while the draw is priced at 3.03, giving it a 33% likelihood. The odds reflect Eibar's stronger position in the league and their recent performances.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Cartagena's season has been challenging, with an average of 0.67 goals per game and a concerning 1.81 goals conceded. Their possession rate of 39.89% highlights their struggle to control matches. Eibar, on the other hand, boasts a more balanced approach with 0.93 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game, alongside a higher possession rate of 49.5%.
Head-to-head, Eibar has the upper hand, having won their last encounter. Cartagena will need to improve their defensive solidity and capitalize on set-pieces to challenge Eibar's organized defense.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Cartagena, Gastón Valles and Luis Muñoz, each with 3 goals, will be crucial in breaking down Eibar's defense. Eibar's Jon Bautista and Antonio Puertas, both with 5 goals, are key threats that Cartagena must neutralize. The midfield battle between Cartagena's Damián Musto and Eibar's Sergio Álvarez could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Eibar's superior passing accuracy, with 340.93 successful passes per game, contrasts with Cartagena's 244.96, highlighting Eibar's ability to maintain possession and dictate play. Defensively, Eibar's lower goals conceded and higher interceptions per game give them an edge in preventing Cartagena's attacks.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Eibar's form and statistical advantages suggest they are likely to secure a win. Cartagena's home advantage and potential for set-piece goals could make it a competitive match, but Eibar's consistency and attacking prowess are expected to prevail. Final score prediction: Cartagena 1-2 Eibar.
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