Match Overview
The La Liga fixture between Deportivo Alavés and Villarreal is set to be a captivating contest, with both teams eager to secure a victory. Deportivo Alavés, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estadio de Mendizorroza to gain an advantage. Meanwhile, Villarreal, known for their attacking prowess, will aim to exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Villarreal slightly favored to win at 2.4, compared to Deportivo Alavés at 3.07, and a draw at 3.28. This translates to a 41.67% probability for a Villarreal win, a 32.57% chance for a Deportivo Alavés victory, and a 30.49% likelihood of a draw. The odds indicate a closely contested match, with Villarreal having a slight edge.
Team Analysis
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Deportivo Alavés have shown mixed form this season, with an average of 1.12 goals per match and a possession rate of 46.12%.
- Strengths: Strong in duels with an average of 215.08 per match, and effective in interceptions with 37.81 per game.
- Weaknesses: Struggle in attack with only 9.46 shots per match and a low assist rate of 0.58.
Villarreal
- Current Form: Villarreal have been more consistent, averaging 1.92 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 47.96%.
- Strengths: High offensive output with 13.2 shots per match and a solid passing game with 424.4 passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable in defense, conceding 1.4 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
In recent encounters, Villarreal have had the upper hand, often outscoring Deportivo Alavés. The tactical approach of Villarreal, focusing on high pressing and quick transitions, has troubled Alavés in past meetings.
Key Players Spotlight
Deportivo Alavés
- Kike García: Top scorer with 11 goals, crucial for Alavés' attacking play.
- Nahuel Tenaglia: Key defensive player with 232.04 points this season.
Villarreal
- Ayoze Pérez: Leading scorer with 11 goals, pivotal in Villarreal's attack.
- Sergi Cardona: Defensive stalwart with 308 points, essential for maintaining defensive solidity.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Villarreal lead with 1.92 goals per match compared to Alavés' 1.12.
- Defensive Metrics: Alavés concede more goals (1.54) than Villarreal (1.4).
- Passing and Possession: Villarreal's superior passing accuracy and possession could dictate the match tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Villarreal are likely to edge out Deportivo Alavés in this encounter. Key factors include Villarreal's superior offensive capabilities and their ability to control possession. Expect a closely fought match with Villarreal potentially securing a narrow victory.
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