Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a strong favor towards Fenerbahçe, with odds of 1.48 for an away win, translating to a probability of approximately 67.6%. Bodrumspor, on the other hand, faces long odds at 6.95, indicating a mere 14.4% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 4.06, offering a 24.6% probability. Given these odds, Fenerbahçe is expected to dominate, but Bodrumspor could surprise with a resilient performance.
Team Analysis
Bodrumspor
- Current Form: Bodrumspor has struggled this season, averaging only 0.74 goals per match and a possession rate of 42.63%.
- Strengths: Their defensive metrics show promise, with 43.44 interceptions per game and a relatively low expected goals against of 1.08.
- Weaknesses: Offensively, they lack firepower, evident from their low shots on target (3.11) and goals scored.
Fenerbahçe
- Current Form: Fenerbahçe has been in excellent form, scoring 2.52 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 52.08%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by 6.32 shots on target per game and a high expected goals of 2.13.
- Weaknesses: Despite their strong attack, they have a tendency to concede, with 0.92 goals against per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Fenerbahçe has dominated this fixture, often outscoring Bodrumspor. Their tactical approach, focusing on high possession and quick transitions, has proven effective against Bodrumspor's defensive setup.
Key Players Spotlight
Bodrumspor
- George Pușcaș: Leading scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Bodrumspor's attacking chances.
- Fredy: A versatile player contributing both defensively and offensively.
Fenerbahçe
- Youssef En-Nesyri: Top scorer with 16 goals, a constant threat in the attacking third.
- Dusan Tadic: Provides creativity and assists, enhancing Fenerbahçe's offensive dynamics.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Fenerbahçe averages 15.04 shots per game compared to Bodrumspor's 11.11, indicating a more aggressive attacking approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Bodrumspor's interceptions (43.44) surpass Fenerbahçe's (34.72), showcasing their defensive resilience.
- Passing Accuracy: Fenerbahçe's successful passes (353.36) highlight their superior ball control and distribution.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical analysis and current form, Fenerbahçe is likely to secure a victory. Their offensive prowess and historical dominance over Bodrumspor are key factors. Bodrumspor's defense will need to be at its best to counter Fenerbahçe's attacking threats.
Final Score Prediction: Fenerbahçe 3-1 Bodrumspor Potential Match-Winning Factors: Fenerbahçe's attacking depth and Bodrumspor's defensive interceptions.
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