MATCH OVERVIEW
Avaí will host Vila Nova in a pivotal Brazil Série B match at the Estádio da Ressacada. With the season progressing, both teams are looking to capitalize on this opportunity to gain momentum and improve their standings. Avaí, currently showing a solid form, will aim to leverage their home advantage, while Vila Nova seeks to upset the hosts and claim a valuable away victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Avaí favored at 1.95, indicating a 51.3% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.09, translating to a 32.4% chance, while Vila Nova's odds of 4.16 reflect a 24% probability of an away victory. These odds highlight Avaí's slight edge, but the potential for a draw remains significant.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Avaí
Avaí has been consistent this season, averaging 1.27 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 48.2%. Their offensive capabilities are underscored by their 46.67% over 2.5 goals rate and a 60% both teams to score percentage. Defensively, they concede 0.87 goals per game, showcasing a robust backline.
Vila Nova
Vila Nova, on the other hand, averages 0.88 goals per match with a possession rate of 46%. Their defensive resilience is evident with a conceded goals average of 0.94. However, their offensive struggles are highlighted by a lower over 2.5 goals percentage of 31.25%.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Avaí has had the upper hand in previous encounters, but Vila Nova's tactical adjustments could pose a challenge. Avaí's home advantage and superior form make them favorites, yet Vila Nova's potential for a strategic upset cannot be overlooked.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Avaí
- Cléber: Leading the scoring charts with 4 goals, Cléber's form will be crucial for Avaí's attacking prowess.
- Jonathan Costa: With 156.68 points, Costa's contributions in midfield are vital.
Vila Nova
- Gabriel Poveda: With 3 goals, Poveda is Vila Nova's key offensive threat.
- Willian Formiga: His defensive capabilities, reflected in 120.37 points, are essential for Vila Nova's stability.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Avaí averages 12.6 shots per game, with 4.27 on target, while Vila Nova records 11.69 shots, with 4.13 on target.
- Avaí's expected goals stand at 1.39, compared to Vila Nova's 1.12.
Defensive Metrics
- Avaí's interceptions average 47.13, showcasing their defensive alertness, while Vila Nova averages 38.69.
- Both teams have similar clearances, with Avaí at 6.2 and Vila Nova at 6.13.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Avaí is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Their home advantage and superior form suggest a probable victory. Vila Nova's defensive resilience might keep the scoreline tight, but Avaí's attacking depth could prove decisive.
Final Score Prediction
Avaí 2-1 Vila Nova
Half Time Score Prediction
Avaí 1-0 Vila Nova
Match-Winning Factors
- Avaí's home advantage and offensive depth
- Vila Nova's defensive resilience and potential for counter-attacks
In conclusion, Avaí's form and home advantage position them as favorites, but Vila Nova's tactical adjustments could lead to a closely contested match.
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