MATCH OVERVIEW
Newell's Old Boys will host Estudiantes in a highly anticipated Primera División match. This game is crucial for both teams as they look to climb the league table. Newell's Old Boys, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Estudiantes will seek to upset the hosts and secure valuable away points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Newell's Old Boys with odds of 1.87, indicating a 53.5% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.11, translating to a 32.2% chance, while Estudiantes are considered underdogs with odds of 4.95, giving them a 20.2% probability of winning. Based on these odds, Newell's Old Boys are expected to have the upper hand, but Estudiantes' potential for an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Newell's Old Boys
- Current Form & Statistics: Newell's Old Boys have struggled offensively, averaging 0 goals per game, but they maintain a high possession rate of 64% and a solid passing game with 457 passes per match.
- Strengths: Strong possession play and high passing accuracy.
- Weaknesses: Lack of goal-scoring ability and defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 2 goals per game.
Estudiantes
- Current Form & Statistics: Estudiantes have been more effective in front of goal, averaging 1.5 goals per game, and have a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per match.
- Strengths: Efficient goal-scoring and strong defensive setup.
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate at 42.5% and fewer successful passes.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Newell's Old Boys have had the upper hand in this fixture, but Estudiantes' current form suggests they could challenge the hosts.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
- Newell's Old Boys: Saúl Salcedo and Josué Reinatti are key players, with Salcedo contributing significantly to the team's defensive efforts.
- Estudiantes: Matías Mansilla and Tiago Palacios are standout performers, with Palacios being a crucial goal-scoring threat.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Estudiantes lead in goals per game (1.5) compared to Newell's (0), but Newell's have a higher expected goals (1.74).
- Defensive Metrics: Estudiantes have a better defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per game.
- Possession & Passing: Newell's dominate possession and passing metrics, which could be pivotal in controlling the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, Newell's Old Boys are favored to win, but Estudiantes' strong defense and goal-scoring ability make them formidable opponents. The match could be decided by Newell's ability to convert possession into goals and Estudiantes' counter-attacking prowess.
Final Score Prediction: Newell's Old Boys 1-1 Estudiantes Half Time Score Prediction: Newell's Old Boys 0-0 Estudiantes Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%