MATCH OVERVIEW
The Brazil Série B match between Amazonas and Vila Nova is set to be a captivating contest, with both teams eager to secure a victory. Amazonas, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Arena da Amazônia to gain an advantage over Vila Nova. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to climb the league table and strengthen their positions.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Amazonas having odds of 2.84 to win, while Vila Nova is slightly favored with odds of 2.68. The draw is priced at 2.9, indicating a balanced probability for all outcomes. Based on these odds, Vila Nova has a slight edge, but the match could swing either way.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Amazonas
- Current Form: Amazonas has played 11 matches this season, with a modest goal-scoring record of 0.64 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their dribbling ability is notable, averaging 17.82 dribbles per match with a success rate of 12.
- Weaknesses: Amazonas struggles defensively, conceding 1.27 goals per game and having a high expected goals against of 1.55.
Vila Nova
- Current Form: Vila Nova has played 12 matches, scoring 0.75 goals per game.
- Strengths: They have a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal per game.
- Weaknesses: Vila Nova's offensive output is limited, with an expected goals of 1.06.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with neither side dominating the other. This match is expected to be another closely fought battle.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Amazonas
- Luan Silva: Top scorer with 4 goals, crucial for Amazonas' attacking play.
- Fabiano: Key player with 114.21 points, contributing significantly to the team's performance.
Vila Nova
- Gabriel Poveda: Leading goal scorer with 3 goals, vital for Vila Nova's offensive strategy.
- Willian Formiga: Standout performer with 118.43 points, influential in both defense and attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Amazonas: Average 11.55 shots per game, with 3.82 on target.
- Vila Nova: Slightly better with 12.17 shots per game, 4 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Amazonas: Concede 1.27 goals per game, with 41.91 interceptions.
- Vila Nova: Concede 1 goal per game, with 40.92 interceptions.
Possession and Passing
- Amazonas: Average possession of 48.55%, with 349.45 passes per game.
- Vila Nova: Slightly lower possession at 46.67%, with 332.75 passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Vila Nova appears to have a slight advantage due to their stronger defensive record and slightly better offensive metrics. However, Amazonas' home advantage and key players like Luan Silva could turn the tide in their favor. The match is likely to be closely contested, with both teams having the potential to score.
Final Score Prediction
- Half Time: Amazonas 0-0 Vila Nova
- Full Time: Amazonas 1-1 Vila Nova
Match-Winning Factors
- Amazonas' home advantage and key player performances.
- Vila Nova's solid defense and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
In conclusion, this match is expected to be a tight contest with a high probability of a draw, but both teams have the potential to secure a win if they capitalize on their strengths effectively.