Match Overview
Hansa Rostock and Ingolstadt are set to face off in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could have significant implications for their season standings. Scheduled to take place at the Ostseestadion, this match is crucial for both teams as they look to climb the league table. With the home advantage, Hansa Rostock will be eager to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Ingolstadt will aim to disrupt their hosts' plans.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Hansa Rostock to win at 2.07, a draw at 3.43, and Ingolstadt to win at 3.26. These odds suggest a slight edge for the home team, with a 48.3% probability of winning. The draw is given a 29.2% chance, while Ingolstadt's probability of victory stands at 30.7%. Based on these odds, Hansa Rostock is expected to have a marginal advantage, but the match could swing either way.
Team Analysis
Hansa Rostock
- Current Form: Hansa Rostock has shown a balanced performance this season, with an average of 1.32 goals per match and a possession rate of 50.76%.
- Strengths: Strong in duels with a success rate of 51.4%, and effective in dribbles with 16.32 successful dribbles per match.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable in defense, conceding an average of 1.28 goals per match.
Ingolstadt
- Current Form: Ingolstadt has been more prolific in attack, averaging 1.96 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.36%.
- Strengths: High scoring potential with a 56% over 2.5 goals rate and a 76% both teams to score rate.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties, conceding 1.44 goals per match on average.
Head-to-Head
In recent encounters, both teams have had competitive matches, with neither side dominating the other. This sets the stage for another closely contested battle.
Tactical Approaches
Hansa Rostock is likely to focus on maintaining possession and exploiting Ingolstadt's defensive lapses, while Ingolstadt will aim to leverage their attacking prowess and capitalize on counter-attacks.
Key Players Spotlight
Hansa Rostock
- Sigurd Haugen: Top scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Hansa's attacking efforts.
- Ahmet Gürleyen: Key defensive player with a strong CompaScore rating.
Ingolstadt
- Sebastian Grönning: Leading goal scorer with 15 goals, a constant threat to any defense.
- Pelle Boevink: High CompaScore rating, instrumental in midfield control.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Ingolstadt leads with 1.96 goals per match compared to Hansa's 1.32.
- Defensive Metrics: Hansa has a slightly better defensive record, conceding 1.28 goals per match versus Ingolstadt's 1.44.
- Possession and Passing: Hansa holds a slight edge in possession and passing accuracy.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, this match is expected to be closely contested. Hansa Rostock's home advantage and slightly better defensive record could be decisive. However, Ingolstadt's attacking threat cannot be underestimated.
Final Score Prediction
Hansa Rostock 2-2 Ingolstadt
Match-Winning Factors
- Hansa's ability to control possession and exploit Ingolstadt's defensive weaknesses.
- Ingolstadt's attacking efficiency and ability to score goals.
In conclusion, this match promises to be an exciting encounter with both teams having the potential to secure a win. A draw seems a likely outcome given the evenly matched statistics and form.