[MATCH OVERVIEW] Mantova will host Carrarese in a pivotal Serie B match on May 9, 2025, at 18:30. With the season drawing to a close, every point is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league table. Mantova, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage, while Carrarese will be keen to upset the hosts and climb the standings.
[ODDS ANALYSIS] The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Mantova slightly favored at 2.2, indicating a 45.5% probability of a home win. The odds for a draw stand at 2.97, translating to a 33.7% chance, while Carrarese's odds of 3.45 suggest a 29% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Mantova is expected to have a slight edge, but the match could swing either way.
[TEAM ANALYSIS] Mantova has shown a solid form this season, with a possession rate of 61.56% and an average of 1.25 goals per match. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 12.47 shots per game and a successful dribble rate of 16.75. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.53 goals per match. Carrarese, on the other hand, has a lower possession rate of 49.69% but has been effective in duels, winning 97.61 on average. Their defense is slightly stronger, conceding 1.28 goals per match.
[KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT] Mantova's Leonardo Mancuso, with 9 goals this season, will be a key player to watch. His ability to find the back of the net could be decisive. Carrarese's Mattia Finotto, who has scored 5 goals, will be crucial in their attacking efforts. The matchup between Mancuso and Carrarese's defense, led by Julián Illanes, will be a focal point.
[STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE] Mantova's offensive metrics, such as their 4.08 shots on target per game, give them an edge in creating scoring opportunities. Carrarese's defensive stats, including 5.67 clearances per match, indicate their ability to thwart attacks. Mantova's higher expected goals (1.32) compared to Carrarese's (1.16) suggests they might have more chances to score.
[PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION] Considering the data, Mantova's home advantage and superior offensive stats could be the deciding factors. However, Carrarese's resilience in defense might keep the match tight. A narrow victory for Mantova seems likely, with a predicted final score of 2-1. Key factors will include Mantova's ability to capitalize on their possession and Carrarese's defensive solidity.