MATCH OVERVIEW
Burgos and Leganés are gearing up for a pivotal clash in La Liga 2, with both teams looking to secure a vital win. This match, taking place at Burgos' home ground, Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, is set to kick off at 15:15 GMT on January 31, 2026. As the season progresses, every point counts, and both teams will be eager to capitalize on this opportunity to climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Burgos slightly favored at 2.3, a draw at 2.81, and Leganés at 3.18. This translates to a probability of approximately 43.5% for a Burgos win, 35.6% for a draw, and 31.4% for a Leganés victory. Given these odds, a tight match is expected, with Burgos having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Burgos
Burgos have shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.13 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.43%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1 goal per game. However, their offensive output could be improved, as indicated by their expected goals (xG) of 1.27 per match.
Leganés
Leganés, on the other hand, have a slightly better possession rate at 50.64% and have scored an average of 1.05 goals per match. Their defense has been comparable to Burgos, conceding 1.05 goals per game. Leganés' xG of 1.47 suggests they have the potential to be more clinical in front of goal.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with neither side dominating the other. This trend is likely to continue, given their similar statistics this season.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Burgos
- David González and Fer Niño have been key contributors, each scoring 5 goals this season.
- Florian Miguel has been a standout performer with 154.8 points, providing stability in defense.
Leganés
- Álex Millán leads the scoring for Leganés with 4 goals.
- Duk has been influential, amassing 171.87 points, showcasing his all-around capabilities.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Burgos average 9.3 shots per game with 3.04 on target, while Leganés average 10.59 shots with 4.23 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Burgos make 42.17 interceptions per game compared to Leganés' 37, indicating a more proactive defensive approach.
- Passing and Possession: Leganés have a slight edge in passing accuracy, completing 318.59 successful passes per game compared to Burgos' 305.26.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is likely to be a closely fought contest. Burgos' home advantage and slightly better odds give them a marginal edge. However, Leganés' superior passing and potential in attack could see them snatch a result. The key to victory will likely be which team can capitalize on their chances and maintain defensive solidity.
Final Score Prediction: Burgos 1-1 Leganés Half Time Score Prediction: Burgos 0-0 Leganés Both Teams to Score Probability: 43% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
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