MATCH OVERVIEW
Mantova will host Palermo in a highly anticipated Serie B clash that could have a significant impact on the league standings. With both teams eager to secure a win, this match is set to be a captivating encounter. The game will be held at the Stadio Danilo Martelli, with kickoff scheduled for 14:00 GMT on January 11, 2026.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive fixture, with Palermo being the favorites at 1.87, while Mantova's odds stand at 3.65, and a draw is priced at 3.33. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 53.5% for a Palermo win, 27.4% for a Mantova victory, and 29.1% for a draw. Based on these odds, Palermo is expected to have the upper hand, but Mantova's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mantova
- Current Form: Mantova has shown mixed form this season, with an average of 0.83 goals per match and a possession rate of 60.28%.
- Strengths: High possession and successful dribbles (17.56 per match) indicate a team comfortable on the ball.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with 1.5 goals conceded per match and an expected goals against of 1.77.
Palermo
- Current Form: Palermo has been more consistent, averaging 1.56 goals per match and conceding only 0.72 goals.
- Strengths: Strong defensive record and effective in duels, with a successful duels rate of 97.61 per match.
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate (50.06%) could be a concern against a possession-heavy Mantova.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Palermo has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Mantova's home advantage could level the playing field.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mantova
- Francesco Ruocco: Leading scorer with 5 goals, crucial for Mantova's attacking play.
- Stefano Cella: Key playmaker with significant contributions in midfield.
Palermo
- Joel Pohjanpalo: Top scorer with 12 goals, a constant threat to any defense.
- Jesse Joronen: Solid performances in goal, contributing to Palermo's strong defensive record.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Mantova averages 14 shots per match, while Palermo averages 12.78, indicating a slight edge for Mantova in creating chances.
- Defensive Metrics: Palermo's defensive solidity is highlighted by their lower goals conceded (0.72) compared to Mantova (1.5).
- Possession and Passing: Mantova's higher possession and passing accuracy could be pivotal in controlling the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Palermo is favored to win this encounter. Their superior defensive record and goal-scoring prowess, led by Joel Pohjanpalo, could be decisive. However, Mantova's home advantage and possession play could pose challenges for Palermo.
Final Score Prediction: Palermo 2-1 Mantova Half Time Score Prediction: Palermo 1-0 Mantova Both Teams to Score Probability: 44% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%
In conclusion, while Palermo is expected to edge out a victory, Mantova's resilience and home support could make this a closely contested match.
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