MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Moreirense and Tondela promises to be a thrilling encounter. Scheduled for January 11, 2026, at 18:00, this match holds significant importance for both teams as they look to improve their standings in the league. Moreirense, playing at home, will be eager to capitalize on their home advantage, while Tondela will aim to upset the hosts and gain crucial away points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Moreirense, with odds of 2.27 for a home win. The draw is priced at 3.01, while a Tondela victory is at 3.06. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 44% for a Moreirense win, 33% for a draw, and 32% for a Tondela win. The odds indicate a closely contested match, with Moreirense having a marginal advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Moreirense
- Current Form: Moreirense has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.4 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.6%.
- Strengths: Their offensive play is bolstered by an average of 8.8 shots per game and a high dribble success rate of 10.67.
- Weaknesses: Defensively, they concede 1.6 goals per match, with an expected goals against of 1.83.
Tondela
- Current Form: Tondela has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.6 goals per match, but they maintain a solid defensive structure.
- Strengths: They have a higher interception rate of 42.53 and a successful dribble rate of 12.47.
- Weaknesses: Their offensive output is limited, with only 0.13 assists per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Moreirense and Tondela have had closely contested matches, with neither team dominating the other. This trend is likely to continue in their upcoming clash.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
- Moreirense: Guilherme Schettine is a key player for Moreirense, having scored 8 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial.
- Tondela: Maranhão, with 3 goals, is Tondela's top scorer and will be vital in their attacking efforts.
- Matchup: The battle between Schettine and Tondela's defense, led by Brayan Medina, will be a key factor in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Moreirense averages 1.4 goals per match compared to Tondela's 0.6, highlighting their superior attacking prowess.
- Defensive Metrics: Tondela's defense, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded, is slightly more porous than Moreirense's.
- Possession and Passing: Moreirense's passing accuracy and possession are slightly better, which could give them an edge in controlling the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Moreirense is favored to win this encounter, thanks to their stronger offensive capabilities and home advantage. Key factors such as Guilherme Schettine's form and Moreirense's ability to control possession will likely influence the match outcome.
Final Score Prediction: Moreirense 2-1 Tondela Half Time Score Prediction: Moreirense 1-0 Tondela Both Teams to Score Probability: 53% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%
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