MATCH OVERVIEW
Crawley Town and Notts County are set to face off in a pivotal League 2 match that could shape the trajectory of their respective seasons. Crawley Town, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Notts County, who have been formidable opponents this season. The match, scheduled for January 17, 2026, at 3:00 PM, is expected to draw a significant crowd eager to witness the unfolding drama.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Crawley Town's odds at 2.87, a draw at 3.36, and Notts County slightly favored at 2.29. This indicates a 34.8% probability for a Crawley Town victory, a 29.8% chance for a draw, and a 43.6% likelihood for Notts County to win. The odds reflect Notts County's slightly superior form and performance metrics this season.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Crawley Town
Crawley Town has played 25 matches this season, with a notable 60% of those games featuring over 2.5 goals. Their ability to score and concede goals makes them a team that often engages in high-scoring affairs. With an average possession of 58.04%, Crawley Town tends to control the game, but their defensive vulnerabilities, highlighted by an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match, could be exploited by Notts County.
Notts County
Notts County, with 24 matches under their belt, has demonstrated a balanced approach with a 50% rate of games featuring over 2.5 goals. Their defensive solidity is evident with only 1.08 goals conceded per match, and their offensive prowess is underscored by an average of 1.5 goals scored per game. Notts County's tactical discipline and ability to maintain possession at 54.75% will be crucial in countering Crawley Town's attacking threats.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Crawley Town
- Harry McKirdy: Leading the goal-scoring chart for Crawley Town with 5 goals, McKirdy's form will be vital in breaking down Notts County's defense.
- Charlie Barker: With 119.88 points this season, Barker's contributions in midfield could be pivotal.
Notts County
- Matthew Dennis: A key player for Notts County, Dennis has scored 10 goals this season, making him a significant threat to Crawley Town's defense.
- Alassana Jatta: With 8 goals, Jatta's ability to find the net will be crucial in securing a win for Notts County.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Crawley Town: Averaging 1.12 goals per match, Crawley Town's offensive efforts are supported by 13.2 shots per game. However, their defense, conceding 1.8 goals per match, remains a concern.
- Notts County: With 1.5 goals per match and a solid defense conceding only 1.08 goals, Notts County's balanced approach gives them a statistical edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Notts County appears to have a slight advantage due to their superior defensive record and consistent goal-scoring ability. Crawley Town's home advantage and attacking potential could make this a closely contested match, but Notts County's form suggests they might edge out a victory.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Crawley Town 1-2 Notts County
- Half Time: Crawley Town 0-1 Notts County
Match-Winning Factors
- Notts County's defensive solidity and goal-scoring consistency
- Crawley Town's home advantage and attacking threats
In conclusion, while Crawley Town will put up a strong fight, Notts County's balanced approach and tactical discipline are likely to secure them the win.
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