MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming 3. Liga match between MSV Duisburg and Verl is set to be a captivating contest, with both teams eager to secure a victory. As the season progresses, every point becomes vital, and this match could significantly impact the league standings. Taking place at Duisburg's home ground, the match is scheduled for February 8, 2026, at 18:30.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with MSV Duisburg having odds of 2.55 to win, while Verl is slightly favored with odds of 2.45. The draw is priced at 3.5, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 39.22% for a Duisburg win, 40.82% for a Verl win, and 28.57% for a draw. Given the odds, Verl might have a slight edge, but the match could swing either way.
TEAM ANALYSIS
MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg has shown a solid performance this season, with an average of 1.8 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.75%. Their offensive play is highlighted by a high Over 2.5 Goals Percentage of 70% and Both Teams To Score Percentage of 65%. However, their defense has been slightly vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match.
Verl
Verl has been impressive with their attacking prowess, averaging 2.38 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 64.62%. Their Over 2.5 Goals Percentage stands at 76.19%, and Both Teams To Score Percentage at 80.95%, showcasing their ability to both score and concede goals. Defensively, they have conceded 1.43 goals per match, which could be a concern against Duisburg's attack.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
MSV Duisburg
- Conor Noß and Patrick Sussek have been key goal scorers, each netting 6 goals this season.
- Lex-Tyger Lobinger has been a standout performer with 245.4 points.
Verl
- Alessio Besio and Berkan Taz lead the scoring charts with 9 goals each.
- Jonas Arweiler has contributed significantly with 8 goals.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- MSV Duisburg: Average shots per match stand at 12.3, with 4.85 on target. Their expected goals are 1.59, indicating a strong attacking potential.
- Verl: They average 15.19 shots per match, with 5.38 on target, and an expected goals of 1.47.
Possession and Passing
- MSV Duisburg: Average possession is 45.75%, with 355.65 passes per match.
- Verl: Dominates possession with 64.62% and averages 567.05 passes per match.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is likely to be a high-scoring affair with both teams having strong offensive capabilities. The key to victory will be the ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and maintain defensive solidity. Given Verl's slightly better odds and offensive statistics, they might edge out Duisburg in a closely fought contest.
Final Score Prediction: 2-3 in favor of Verl.
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