MATCH OVERVIEW
Ulm will host Schweinfurt in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could have significant implications for both teams' seasons. Ulm, currently enjoying a solid run, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Schweinfurt aims to defy the odds and secure a vital away victory. The match is set to kick off at 17:00 on October 1, 2025, at Ulm's home stadium.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a home win, with Ulm priced at 1.55, indicating a 64.5% probability of victory. The odds for a draw stand at 4.1, translating to a 24.4% chance, while Schweinfurt's odds of 5.2 suggest an 19.2% probability of an away win. Based on these odds, Ulm is the clear favorite to take all three points.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ulm
- Current Form: Ulm has been in impressive form, with a high scoring rate and a strong home record.
- Strengths: High possession rate (51.86%), effective dribbling (10.57 successful dribbles per match), and a potent attack with an average of 1.43 goals per game.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.71 goals per match.
Schweinfurt
- Current Form: Schweinfurt has struggled to find consistency, with a lower goal-scoring rate.
- Strengths: Strong in duels (88.83 successful duels per match) and effective in interceptions (42.67 per match).
- Weaknesses: Low scoring rate (0.5 goals per game) and a tendency to concede goals (2.17 per match).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Ulm has had the upper hand in previous encounters, leveraging their home advantage effectively.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ulm
- Dominik Martinovic: A key performer with 284.49 points this season, crucial in both attack and midfield.
- Elias Löder: Top scorer with 3 goals, pivotal in Ulm's offensive play.
Schweinfurt
- Kevin Frisorger: Leading the team with 148.07 points, instrumental in midfield.
- Kristian Böhnlein: A potential threat with 1 goal this season.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Ulm's Offensive Metrics: Average of 14.29 shots per game, with 4.43 on target.
- Schweinfurt's Defensive Challenges: Conceding 2.17 goals per game, with a high expected goals against of 2.06.
- Possession Battle: Ulm slightly edges Schweinfurt with 51.86% possession compared to 49.83%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given Ulm's superior form and home advantage, they are expected to dominate proceedings. Key factors include Ulm's attacking prowess and Schweinfurt's defensive frailties. A likely outcome is a home win for Ulm, with a predicted scoreline of 3-1. Schweinfurt will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks to stand a chance.
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