MATCH OVERVIEW
Alverca and Vitória Guimarães are set to face off in a highly anticipated Primeira Liga match. This encounter is crucial for both teams as they look to improve their standings in the league. Alverca, playing at home, will be keen to leverage their home advantage, while Vitória Guimarães will aim to capitalize on their superior form.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 3.16 for a home win, 3.28 for a draw, and 2.19 for an away win. These odds suggest that Vitória Guimarães is the favorite to win, with a probability of approximately 45.7% for an away victory. Alverca has a 31.6% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw stands at 30.5%. The odds indicate a competitive match, but Vitória Guimarães is expected to have the upper hand.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Alverca
- Current Form: Alverca has struggled this season, with an average of 1 goal per match and conceding 1.8 goals.
- Strengths: High dribble success rate (11.4 successful dribbles per match).
- Weaknesses: Low possession (43.2%) and high goals conceded.
Vitória Guimarães
- Current Form: Vitória Guimarães has shown better form, averaging 1.4 goals per match and conceding 1.4 goals.
- Strengths: Strong passing game with 293 successful passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to conceding goals, with an expected goals against of 1.39.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Vitória Guimarães has had the upper hand in previous encounters, often outperforming Alverca in key matches.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Alverca
- André Gomes: A key performer with 253.52 points this season.
- Cédric Nuozzi: Scored 1 goal, crucial for Alverca's attack.
Vitória Guimarães
- Rodrigo Abascal: Leading with 203.31 points, pivotal in defense.
- Nélson Oliveira: Top scorer with 2 goals, vital for their offensive play.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Alverca averages 7.6 shots per match, while Vitória Guimarães averages 10.6.
- Defensive Metrics: Alverca concedes 1.8 goals per match, whereas Vitória Guimarães concedes 1.4.
- Possession: Vitória Guimarães holds a slight edge with 48.4% possession compared to Alverca's 43.2%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Vitória Guimarães is likely to win this match. Their superior offensive and defensive metrics, combined with a higher possession rate, give them an edge. Key factors include their ability to control the game through passing and capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: Vitória Guimarães 2-1 Alverca Half Time Score Prediction: Vitória Guimarães 1-0 Alverca Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 70%
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